AuroraMeteo

Manitoba, CanadaMagnetic latitude 59.1°Population 1,089261 m above sea level

Northern lights in Lac du Bonnet

From Lac du Bonnet the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 1.7.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:34.

Kp 0.3 · 365 km/s · Bz 2.0

Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 0.7.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Maybe — worth a look

  • Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 4.7 expected, 1.7 needed here.
  • Sky Partly cloudy (68% cloud) — look for gaps.
  • Darkness Dark from 19:34 to 06:44.

What to do: Go somewhere dark around 06:00, give your eyes 15 minutes to adjust and look north, low over the horizon.

Tonight

Updated 11:52 local time

79/100

Excellent chance

Best around 06:00. Forecast max Kp 4.7 (this place needs 1.7), average cloud 68%.

Dark enough
19:34 – 06:44
Sunset
18:24 · sunrise 07:54
Moon
60% · ↑ 16:01 · ↓ 01:06
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 1.7
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 0 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (6°)
Tue 20 Oct95Kp 3.7 · cloud 40%
Wed 21 Oct70Kp 2.7 · cloud 44%
Mon 19 19 · 26/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 36% Mon 19 20 · 28/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 66% Mon 19 21 · 33/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 59% Mon 19 22 · 40/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 51% Mon 19 23 · 4/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 95% Tue 20 01 · 2/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 98% Tue 20 02 · 5/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 95% Tue 20 03 · 18/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 82% Tue 20 04 · 7/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 93% Tue 20 05 · 69/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 28% Tue 20 06 · 79/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 17% Tue 20 19 · 12/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 68% Tue 20 20 · 32/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 58% Tue 20 21 · 30/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 61% Tue 20 22 · 35/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 55% Tue 20 23 · 17/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 78% Wed 21 00 · 43/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 45% Wed 21 01 · 53/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 29% Wed 21 02 · 13/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 86% Wed 21 03 · 95/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 04 · 92/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 05 · 92/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 06 · 92/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 19 · 35/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 20 · 70/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 21 · 70/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% 1218Tue 20061218Wed 21061218Thu 2206
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 1218Tue 20061218Wed 21061218Thu 2206
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeMon, 19Mon, 22Tue, 01Tue, 04Tue, 19Tue, 22Wed, 01Wed, 04Wed, 19Wed, 22Thu, 01Thu, 04
Low cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Mid cloud0%0%0%13%0%38%67%38%0%0%0%0%
High cloud39%75%100%77%58%53%45%22%0%30%53%30%
Temperature9 °C8 °C7 °C6 °C12 °C10 °C8 °C6 °C8 °C7 °C5 °C4 °C
Feels like7 °C5 °C4 °C2 °C12 °C10 °C6 °C3 °C8 °C5 °C3 °C2 °C
Wind3 m/s4 m/s4 m/s4 m/s2 m/s2 m/s3 m/s3 m/s2 m/s2 m/s3 m/s3 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

Weather in Lac du Bonnet

The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Lac du Bonnet: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.

Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for Lac du Bonnet on Atlas of Seasons.

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Preview

What you would see from Lac du Bonnet

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 4 · overheadKp 2 · 14°–26° NW 306° NW 321° NNW 336° N 351° N 6° NNE 21° NE 36° NE 51° ENE 66°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Terrain not modelled for this place; the horizon is drawn flat.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Visible to the north 14° 26° 378 km
3 Visible to the north 33° 51° 156 km
4 Overhead and all around – – –
5 Overhead and all around – – –
6 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
7 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet eye in Lac du Bonnet camera in Lac du Bonnet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) next 24 h Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Suburban sky. Noticeable sky glow. Bright displays are visible, but driving out of town makes a clear difference.

A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the east-south-east. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

Terrain is not modelled for this place.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Lac du Bonnet

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

February has been the best month (48% of nights), followed by September (46%).

0%20%40%60% July: 35% Jul August: 42% Aug September: 46% Sept October: 35% Oct November: 21% Nov December: 28% Dec January: 41% Jan February: 48% Feb March: 40% Mar April: 37% Apr May: 30% May June: 29% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 46% 66% 8.9 h 9° / 20°C
October 35% 50% 10.8 h 1° / 11°C
November 21% 34% 12.5 h -8° / 0°C
December 28% 47% 13.1 h -18° / -10°C
January 41% 58% 12.8 h -22° / -12°C
February 48% 64% 11.4 h -22° / -10°C
March 40% 56% 9.5 h -11° / 0°C
April 37% 59% 7.4 h -2° / 10°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
86%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (February)
96%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (February)
99%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (February)

Aurora nights in Lac du Bonnet since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 4915492016: 3116312017: 3317332018: 81882019: 1019102020: 42042021: 1021102022: 2722272023: 3323332024: 2324232025: 5025502026: 242624
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Winnipeg / James Armstrong Richardson International Airport (YWG) · 92 km
Typical low / high in February
-22° / -10°C
What to wear
Extreme cold: insulated boots, down jacket, two layers of wool, face protection, chemical hand warmers. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Rules are provincial: Québec requires winter tyres (mountain-snowflake symbol or studded) on Québec-registered vehicles Dec 1–Mar 15, and BC requires winter tyres or chains on signed routes Oct 1–Mar 31 (to Apr 30 on mountain passes/high-snowfall routes); road conditions via 511 Yukon (511yukon.ca), DriveNWT (drivenwt.ca), 511 Alberta, Manitoba 511 (manitoba511.ca) and DriveBC. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no national right to roam; private land requires the owner's permission, while national/provincial parks and Crown land are generally accessible subject to park rules, which vary by province and territory.
Official space-weather service
Space Weather Canada (Natural Resources Canada)
Weather service
Environment and Climate Change Canada (weather.gc.ca)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Lac du Bonnet?

From Lac du Bonnet the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 1.7.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Lac du Bonnet?

Face north (about 6° from true north). At Kp 1.7 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 14° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Lac du Bonnet?

Over 2005–2025, February gave the best odds in Lac du Bonnet (48% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by September (46%).

When is the aurora season in Lac du Bonnet?

Lac du Bonnet gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Lac du Bonnet?

Noticeable sky glow. Bright displays are visible, but driving out of town makes a clear difference. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the east-south-east.

When was the aurora last possible in Lac du Bonnet?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Lac du Bonnet on 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0) — 916 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Lac du Bonnet share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.