AuroraMeteo

Prince Edward Island, CanadaMagnetic latitude 51.9°Population 7,88312 m above sea level

Can you see the northern lights in Three Rivers?

From Three Rivers the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 5.3 or more), usually as a glow low in the north-north-west. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does. Since 1995 that level (Kp 5.3) was reached during darkness here on 467 nights.

Right now

Quiet right now (Kp 0.0).

Kp 0.0 · 391 km/s · Bz 2.3

Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 0.3.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Not tonight

  • Solar activity Too weak: Kp 2.7 expected, 5.3 needed here.
  • Sky Mostly clear (2% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:23 to 06:27.

What to do: Not tonight — your next chance is shown just below.

Tonight

Updated 22:35 local time

1/100

Unlikely

Best around 22:00. Forecast max Kp 2.7 (this place needs 5.3), average cloud 2%.

Dark enough
19:23 – 06:27
Sunset
18:18 · sunrise 07:32
Moon
54% · ↑ 15:31 · ↓ 23:51
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 5.3
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 3.7 (a red glow low in the north-north-west).
Look towards
north-north-west (342°)
Mon 19 Oct0Kp 4.7 · cloud 100%
Tue 20 Oct8Kp 3.7 · cloud 19%
Wed 21 Oct2Kp 3.0 · cloud 8%
Sun 18 22 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 0% Sun 18 23 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 17% Mon 19 06 · 1/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 1% Tue 20 19 · 5/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 25% Tue 20 20 · 4/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 38% Tue 20 21 · 3/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 9% Tue 20 22 · 4/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 6% Tue 20 23 · 2/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 39% Wed 21 00 · 2/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 68% Wed 21 01 · 4/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 44% Wed 21 02 · 8/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 1% Wed 21 03 · 3/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 04 · 3/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 05 · 3/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 06 · 1/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 19 · 2/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 9% Wed 21 20 · 2/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 9% Wed 21 21 · 1/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 6% Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 21061218
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 21061218
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeSun, 22Mon, 01Mon, 04Mon, 19Mon, 22Tue, 01Tue, 04Tue, 19Tue, 22Wed, 01Wed, 04Wed, 19
Low cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Mid cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
High cloud1%4%5%0%13%74%99%68%60%86%100%1%
Temperature2 °C2 °C2 °C9 °C6 °C6 °C6 °C8 °C7 °C6 °C6 °C7 °C
Feels like2 °C0 °C-1 °C6 °C3 °C3 °C3 °C6 °C4 °C4 °C4 °C6 °C
Wind1 m/s2 m/s3 m/s5 m/s4 m/s4 m/s3 m/s5 m/s4 m/s3 m/s3 m/s2 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

Weather in Three Rivers

The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Three Rivers: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.

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Preview

What you would see from Three Rivers

Facing north-north-west. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 7.3 · overheadKp 5.3 · 11°–22° WNW 282° WNW 297° NW 312° NNW 327° NNW 342° N 357° NNE 12° NNE 27° NE 42°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Below the horizon 0° 4° 1,179 km
3 Below the horizon 2° 7° 956 km
4 Faint glow, mostly on camera 5° 12° 734 km
5 Faint glow, mostly on camera 9° 19° 512 km
6 Visible to the north-north-west 19° 33° 289 km
7 Visible to the north-north-west 57° 71° 67 km
8 Overhead and all around – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south-south-east – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled next 24 h Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active camera in Three Rivers Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) eye in Three Rivers Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Pristine dark sky. Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The horizon towards the north-north-west is open (terrain below 0.6°), so low aurora is not blocked.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Three Rivers

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

September has been the best month (2% of nights), followed by May (2%).

0%10% July: 0% Jul August: 1% Aug September: 2% Sept October: 1% Oct November: 0% Nov December: 0% Dec January: 0% Jan February: 1% Feb March: 0% Mar April: 1% Apr May: 2% May June: 0% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 2% 62% 9.1 h 14° / 19°C
October 0.9% 43% 10.9 h 9° / 13°C
November 0.3% 20% 12.0 h 2° / 7°C
December 0.2% 12% 12.6 h -4° / 1°C
January 0.2% 15% 12.4 h -8° / -2°C
February 0.5% 30% 11.4 h -9° / -3°C
March 0.2% 38% 9.9 h -5° / 1°C
April 0.5% 45% 7.9 h 0° / 6°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
6%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (September)
10%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (September)
14%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (September)

Aurora nights in Three Rivers since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 5.3 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 2915292016: 1416142017: 1517152018: 61862019: 41942020: 12012021: 52152022: 92292023: 1923192024: 1724172025: 2125212026: 152615
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Charlottetown Airport (YYG) · 44 km
Typical low / high in September
14° / 19°C
What to wear
Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Rules are provincial: Québec requires winter tyres (mountain-snowflake symbol or studded) on Québec-registered vehicles Dec 1–Mar 15, and BC requires winter tyres or chains on signed routes Oct 1–Mar 31 (to Apr 30 on mountain passes/high-snowfall routes); road conditions via 511 Yukon (511yukon.ca), DriveNWT (drivenwt.ca), 511 Alberta, Manitoba 511 (manitoba511.ca) and DriveBC. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no national right to roam; private land requires the owner's permission, while national/provincial parks and Crown land are generally accessible subject to park rules, which vary by province and territory.
Official space-weather service
Space Weather Canada (Natural Resources Canada)
Weather service
Environment and Climate Change Canada (weather.gc.ca)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Three Rivers?

From Three Rivers the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 5.3 or more), usually as a glow low in the north-north-west. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Three Rivers?

Face north-north-west (about 342° from true north). At Kp 5.3 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 19° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Three Rivers?

Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in Three Rivers (2% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by May (2%).

When is the aurora season in Three Rivers?

Three Rivers gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Three Rivers?

Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

When was the aurora last possible in Three Rivers?

The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level Three Rivers needs, during darkness, was 10 October 2026 (Kp 5.7). It has happened on 467 nights since 1995.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Three Rivers share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.