AuroraMeteo

Lääne-Viru County, EstoniaMagnetic latitude 56.4°Population 3,99646 m above sea level

Northern lights in Kunda

From Kunda the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 3.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:27.

Kp 1.7 · 472 km/s · Bz -0.8

Magnetometer at Tartu (136 km away): low magnetic activity.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: FMI MIRACLE R-index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Not tonight

  • Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 4.7 expected, 3 needed here.
  • Sky Overcast (76% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:27 to 06:31.

What to do: Not tonight — your next chance is shown just below.

Tonight

Updated 11:44 local time

36/100

Good chance

Best around 05:00. Forecast max Kp 4.7 (this place needs 3), average cloud 76%.

Dark enough
19:27 – 06:31
Sunset
17:57 · sunrise 08:01
Moon
47% · ↑ 16:30 · ↓ 22:12
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 3
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 1.3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (0°)
Mon 19 Oct76Kp 3.7 · cloud 12%
Tue 20 Oct77Kp 3.3 · cloud 8%
Sun 18 19 · 1/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 76% Sun 18 20 · 5/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 32% Sun 18 21 · 2/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 66% Sun 18 23 · 1/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 87% Mon 19 00 · 1/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 90% Mon 19 02 · 1/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 95% Mon 19 03 · 19/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 81% Mon 19 04 · 22/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 77% Mon 19 05 · 36/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 63% Mon 19 06 · 23/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 53% Mon 19 19 · 41/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 2% Mon 19 20 · 39/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 7% Mon 19 21 · 48/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 11% Mon 19 22 · 48/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 11% Mon 19 23 · 48/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 10% Tue 20 00 · 76/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 12% Tue 20 01 · 71/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 18% Tue 20 02 · 67/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 23% Tue 20 03 · 62/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 20% Tue 20 04 · 66/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 14% Tue 20 05 · 70/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 10% Tue 20 06 · 41/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 6% Tue 20 19 · 28/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 0% Tue 20 20 · 28/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 0% Tue 20 21 · 61/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 0% Tue 20 22 · 61/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 0% Tue 20 23 · 61/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 0% Wed 21 00 · 61/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 0% Wed 21 01 · 77/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 0% Wed 21 02 · 77/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 0% Wed 21 03 · 38/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 25% Wed 21 04 · 38/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 25% Wed 21 05 · 38/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 25% 1218Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 2106
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 1218Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 2106
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeSun, 19Sun, 22Mon, 01Mon, 04Mon, 19Mon, 22Tue, 01Tue, 04Tue, 19Tue, 22Wed, 01Wed, 04
Low cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Mid cloud2%2%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%16%29%
High cloud35%34%38%37%0%0%0%0%0%3%17%23%
Temperature7 °C6 °C5 °C5 °C6 °C3 °C3 °C2 °C6 °C4 °C4 °C4 °C
Feels like5 °C4 °C4 °C3 °C4 °C1 °C1 °C0 °C4 °C2 °C2 °C2 °C
Wind3 m/s2 m/s2 m/s2 m/s2 m/s2 m/s2 m/s2 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

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Preview

What you would see from Kunda

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 5 · high overheadKp 3 · 11°–21° WNW 300° NW 315° NNW 330° NNW 345° N 0° NNE 15° NNE 30° NE 45° ENE 60°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Faint glow, mostly on camera 6° 13° 678 km
3 Visible to the north 11° 21° 456 km
4 Visible to the north 23° 39° 234 km
5 Visible to the north 84° 87° 11 km
6 Overhead and all around – – –
7 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet camera in Kunda Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled eye in Kunda Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) next 24 h Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Dark rural sky. Little artificial light. Faint displays are visible once your eyes have adapted.

A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the north-north-east. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The horizon towards the north is open (terrain below 0.2°), so low aurora is not blocked.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Kunda

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

March has been the best month (17% of nights), followed by September (17%).

0%10%20%30% – Jul August: 11% Aug September: 17% Sept October: 9% Oct November: 4% Nov December: 3% Dec January: 4% Jan February: 7% Feb March: 17% Mar April: 15% Apr May: 6% May – Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 17% 42% 7.9 h 9° / 16°C
October 9% 25% 10.6 h 3° / 9°C
November 4% 10% 12.9 h -1° / 2°C
December 3% 8% 14.1 h -6° / -2°C
January 4% 9% 13.4 h -10° / -5°C
February 7% 18% 11.5 h -10° / -4°C
March 17% 41% 9.1 h -6° / 1°C
April 15% 57% 5.6 h 0° / 8°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
43%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (March)
60%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (March)
73%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (March)

Darkness through the year

Aurora nights in Kunda since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 3315332016: 4016402017: 3117312018: 1318132019: 81982020: 32032021: 1421142022: 3322332023: 2623262024: 2524252025: 5225522026: 262626
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Lennart Meri Tallinn Airport (TLL) · 96 km
Typical low / high in March
-6° / 1°C
What to wear
Below freezing at night: thermal layers, a warm jacket, hat, gloves and winter boots. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
112
Winter driving
Winter tyres are mandatory 1 Dec – 1 Mar; studded tyres allowed 15 Oct – 31 Mar (to 30 Apr if winter conditions persist), and since Dec 2022 non-studded winter tyres must be Nordic-type. Road conditions: Transpordiamet's Tark Tee portal (https://www.tarktee.ee). Road conditions
Access to land
Estonia's everyman's right (igaüheõigus, codified in the Environmental Code) lets you be on unfenced, unposted land day and night regardless of ownership; fenced or signposted private land requires the owner's permission. RMK (State Forest Management Centre) sites are open to the public.
Weather service
Estonian Weather Service (Riigi Ilmateenistus)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Kunda?

From Kunda the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 3.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Kunda?

Face north (about 0° from true north). At Kp 3 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 11° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Kunda?

Over 2005–2025, March gave the best odds in Kunda (17% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by September (17%).

When is the aurora season in Kunda?

From 12 May to 31 July the sky in Kunda never gets dark enough. Outside that period the aurora can be seen whenever activity and clouds allow.

Is there much light pollution in Kunda?

Little artificial light. Faint displays are visible once your eyes have adapted. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the north-north-east.

When was the aurora last possible in Kunda?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Kunda on 10 October 2026 (Kp 7.3) — 906 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Kunda share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.

Nearby places