AuroraMeteo

Munster, IrelandMagnetic latitude 48.5°Population 18,62127 m above sea level

Can you see the northern lights in Ballincollig?

From Ballincollig the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 7 or more), usually as a glow low in the north. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does. Since 1995 that level (Kp 7) was reached during darkness here on 73 nights.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:47.

Kp 0.0 · 460 km/s · Bz 1.2

Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 0.3.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Not tonight

  • Solar activity Too weak: Kp 2.3 expected, 7 needed here.
  • Sky Mostly clear (2% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:47 to 06:52.

What to do: Not tonight — your next chance is shown just below.

Tonight

Updated 13:43 local time

0/100

Unlikely

Best around 19:00. Forecast max Kp 2.3 (this place needs 7), average cloud 2%.

Dark enough
19:47 – 06:52
Sunset
18:34 · sunrise 08:05
Moon
49% · ↑ 15:53 · ↓ 23:37
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 7
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 5.3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (354°)
Mon 19 Oct3Kp 4.7 · cloud 33%
Tue 20 Oct0Kp 3.7 · cloud 73%
Tue 20 00 · 1/100 · Kp 4.0 · cloud 20% Tue 20 01 · 1/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 41% Tue 20 02 · 1/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 51% Tue 20 03 · 1/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 55% Tue 20 04 · 2/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 38% Tue 20 05 · 2/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 41% Tue 20 06 · 3/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 2% 18Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 210612
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 18Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 210612
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeSun, 19Sun, 22Mon, 01Mon, 04Mon, 19Mon, 22Tue, 01Tue, 04Tue, 19Tue, 22Wed, 01Wed, 04
Low cloud0%3%5%0%18%30%44%41%40%50%58%59%
Mid cloud4%2%0%0%0%2%3%2%85%79%67%89%
High cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Temperature6 °C5 °C4 °C3 °C8 °C8 °C8 °C8 °C9 °C9 °C9 °C8 °C
Feels like6 °C5 °C4 °C2 °C7 °C6 °C6 °C6 °C8 °C9 °C8 °C5 °C
Wind1 m/s1 m/s1 m/s1 m/s3 m/s3 m/s4 m/s3 m/s2 m/s1 m/s2 m/s6 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

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Preview

What you would see from Ballincollig

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 9 · overheadKp 7 · 11°–22° WNW 294° NW 309° NW 324° NNW 339° N 354° N 9° NNE 24° NE 39° NE 54°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Terrain not modelled for this place; the horizon is drawn flat.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Below the horizon -3° 0° 1,557 km
3 Below the horizon -2° 2° 1,334 km
4 Below the horizon 0° 5° 1,112 km
5 Below the horizon 3° 8° 890 km
6 Faint glow, mostly on camera 6° 13° 667 km
7 Visible to the north 11° 22° 445 km
8 Visible to the north 24° 41° 222 km
9 Overhead and all around – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet next 24 h Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) camera in Ballincollig Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) eye in Ballincollig Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Suburban sky. Noticeable sky glow. Bright displays are visible, but driving out of town makes a clear difference.

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

Terrain is not modelled for this place.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Ballincollig

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

October has been the best month (1% of nights), followed by May (0%).

0%10% July: 0% Jul August: 0% Aug September: 0% Sept October: 1% Oct November: 0% Nov December: 0% Dec January: 0% Jan February: 0% Feb March: 0% Mar April: 0% Apr May: 0% May June: 0% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 0.2% 45% 8.8 h 10° / 16°C
October 0.6% 46% 10.8 h 8° / 14°C
November 0.3% 45% 12.5 h 6° / 10°C
December 0% 36% 13.1 h 4° / 8°C
January 0% 36% 12.8 h 3° / 8°C
February 0% 35% 11.4 h 3° / 8°C
March 0% 44% 9.5 h 3° / 9°C
April 0.2% 50% 7.3 h 5° / 12°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology

Aurora nights in Ballincollig since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 7 or more while it was dark here.

2003: 50352004: 70472005: 60562006: 10612011: 21122013: 11312015: 31532017: 11712023: 22322024: 52452025: 32532026: 4264
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Cork International Airport (ORK) · 8 km
Typical low / high in October
8° / 14°C
What to wear
Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
112 / 999
Winter driving
Irish law does not require winter tyres (legal minimum tread 1.6 mm; Gardaí recommend at least 3 mm in winter); check TII Traffic Info for national road conditions. Road conditions
Access to land
Ireland has no general right to roam: off public roads and rights of way, access to private (and state) land is at the landowner's discretion and can be withdrawn, though permissive access is common on waymarked trails and schemes like the Mountain Access Scheme.
Weather service
Met Éireann

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Ballincollig?

From Ballincollig the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 7 or more), usually as a glow low in the north. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Ballincollig?

Face north (about 354° from true north). At Kp 7 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 11° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Ballincollig?

Over 2005–2025, October gave the best odds in Ballincollig (1% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by May (0%).

When is the aurora season in Ballincollig?

Ballincollig gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Ballincollig?

Noticeable sky glow. Bright displays are visible, but driving out of town makes a clear difference.

When was the aurora last possible in Ballincollig?

The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level Ballincollig needs, during darkness, was 10 October 2026 (Kp 7.0). It has happened on 73 nights since 1995.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Ballincollig share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.