AuroraMeteo

Manitoba, CanadaMagnetic latitude 58.6°Population 3,215239 m above sea level

Northern lights in Headingley

From Headingley the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 2.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:46.

Kp 3.0 · 451 km/s · Bz -3.8

Updates every minute while this page is open.

Tonight in one minute

Only in photos, if at all

  • Solar activity Enough for a camera: Kp 1.7 expected, 0.3 needed for photos, 2 for the eye.
  • Sky Mostly clear (20% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:46 to 06:44.

What to do: Point a phone in night mode north (3–10 s exposure). A red or green glow often shows on the screen before you can see it.

Tonight

Updated 12:44 local time

39/100

Good chance

Best around 21:00. Forecast max Kp 1.7 (this place needs 2), average cloud 20%.

Dark enough
19:46 – 06:44
Sunset
18:36 · sunrise 07:54
Moon
32% · ↑ 14:37 · ↓ 21:46
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 2
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 0.3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (6°)
Sat 17 Oct21Kp 1.7 · cloud 71%
Sun 18 Oct40Kp 1.7 · cloud 4%
Fri 16 19 · 22/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 4.7% Fri 16 20 · 22/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 52.3% Fri 16 21 · 39/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 14.8% Fri 16 22 · 37/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 26.6% Fri 16 23 · 37/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 26.6% Sat 17 00 · 36/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 29.7% Sat 17 01 · 23/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 35.2% Sat 17 02 · 28/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 21.1% Sat 17 03 · 27/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 25.8% Sat 17 04 · 35/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 3.1% Sat 17 05 · 36/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 0% Sat 17 06 · 34/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 5.5% Sat 17 19 · 18/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 18% Sat 17 20 · 20/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 53.9% Sat 17 21 · 21/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 53.1% Sat 17 22 · 13/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 71.1% Sat 17 23 · 15/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 71.1% Sun 18 00 · 4/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 93% Sun 18 01 · 12/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 67.2% Sun 18 02 · 8/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 78.1% Sun 18 03 · 3/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 93% Sun 18 04 · 2/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 94.5% Sun 18 05 · 3/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 92.2% Sun 18 06 · 11/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 69.5% Sun 18 19 · 21/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 2.3% Sun 18 20 · 40/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 7% Sun 18 21 · 27/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 35.9% 1218Sat 17061218Sun 18061218Mon 1906
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

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What you would see from Headingley

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 4 · overheadKp 2 · 12°–22° NW 306° NW 321° NNW 336° N 351° N 6° NNE 21° NE 36° NE 51° ENE 66°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Visible to the north 12° 22° 434 km
3 Visible to the north 25° 42° 211 km
4 Overhead and all around – – –
5 Overhead and all around – – –
6 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
7 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet eye in Headingley camera in Headingley Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled next 24 h Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Rural to suburban. Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out.

A noticeably darker area starts about 10 km to the west-south-west. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The horizon towards the north is open (terrain below 0.1°), so low aurora is not blocked.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Headingley

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

September has been the best month (37% of nights), followed by February (35%).

0%10%20%30%40%50% July: 23% Jul August: 29% Aug September: 37% Sept October: 31% Oct November: 19% Nov December: 23% Dec January: 28% Jan February: 35% Feb March: 30% Mar April: 26% Apr May: 20% May June: 20% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 37% 60% 8.9 h 9° / 21°C
October 31% 48% 10.8 h 2° / 11°C
November 19% 32% 12.5 h -8° / 0°C
December 23% 43% 13.1 h -18° / -10°C
January 28% 48% 12.8 h -22° / -12°C
February 35% 52% 11.4 h -21° / -10°C
March 30% 47% 9.5 h -11° / 0°C
April 26% 49% 7.5 h -1° / 10°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
75%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (September)
90%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (September)
96%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (September)

Aurora nights in Headingley since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 5015502016: 3116312017: 3217322018: 81882019: 1019102020: 52052021: 1021102022: 2822282023: 3323332024: 2324232025: 5025502026: 232623
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Winnipeg / James Armstrong Richardson International Airport (YWG) · 13 km
Typical low / high in September
9° / 21°C
What to wear
Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Rules are provincial: Québec requires winter tyres (mountain-snowflake symbol or studded) on Québec-registered vehicles Dec 1–Mar 15, and BC requires winter tyres or chains on signed routes Oct 1–Mar 31 (to Apr 30 on mountain passes/high-snowfall routes); road conditions via 511 Yukon (511yukon.ca), DriveNWT (drivenwt.ca), 511 Alberta, Manitoba 511 (manitoba511.ca) and DriveBC. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no national right to roam; private land requires the owner's permission, while national/provincial parks and Crown land are generally accessible subject to park rules, which vary by province and territory.
Official space-weather service
Space Weather Canada (Natural Resources Canada)
Weather service
Environment and Climate Change Canada (weather.gc.ca)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Headingley?

From Headingley the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 2.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Headingley?

Face north (about 6° from true north). At Kp 2 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 12° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Headingley?

Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in Headingley (37% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by February (35%).

When is the aurora season in Headingley?

Headingley gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Headingley?

Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out. A noticeably darker area starts about 10 km to the west-south-west.

When was the aurora last possible in Headingley?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Headingley on 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0) — 918 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Headingley share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.