AuroraMeteo

Northwest Territories, CanadaMagnetic latitude 66.6°Population 2,542205 m above sea level

Northern lights in Fort Smith

Fort Smith sits right under the auroral oval: on clear, dark nights the aurora is often overhead, even when activity is quiet. Clouds matter far more than the Kp number here.

Right now

The aurora may be in view right now — go outside and look north-north-east!

Kp 1.3 · 411 km/s · Bz -2.0

Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 2.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Maybe — worth a look

  • Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 3 expected, 0 needed here.
  • Sky Partly cloudy (57% cloud) — look for gaps.
  • Darkness Dark from 19:32 to 06:53. A bright moon (76%) washes out faint displays.

What to do: Go somewhere dark around 04:00, give your eyes 15 minutes to adjust and look north-north-east, low over the horizon.

Tonight

Updated 04:10 local time

52/100

Good chance

Best around 04:00. Forecast max Kp 3.0 (this place needs 0), average cloud 57%.

Dark enough
19:32 – 06:53
Sunset
18:00 · sunrise 08:25
Moon
76% · ↑ 16:57 · ↓ 01:57
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 0
Look towards
north-north-east (18°)
Wed 21 Oct48Kp 3.7 · cloud 77%
Thu 22 Oct0Kp 1.7 · cloud 100%
Fri 23 Oct0Kp 3.3 · cloud 86%
Wed 21 04 · 52/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 45% Wed 21 05 · 45/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 53% Wed 21 06 · 30/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 65% Wed 21 07 · 4/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 66% Wed 21 19 · 28/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 21% Wed 21 20 · 48/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 31% Wed 21 21 · 33/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 56% Wed 21 22 · 23/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 70% Wed 21 23 · 19/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 75% Thu 22 00 · 15/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 77% Thu 22 01 · 6/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 91% Thu 22 02 · 3/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 96% Thu 22 03 · 2/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 98% Thu 22 04 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 99% Thu 22 07 · 1/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 95% 061218Thu 22061218Fri 23061218Sat 24
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 061218Thu 22061218Fri 23061218Sat 24
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeWed, 04Wed, 19Wed, 22Thu, 01Thu, 04Thu, 19Thu, 22Fri, 01Fri, 04Fri, 19Fri, 22Sat, 01
Low cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Mid cloud0%0%9%25%44%100%100%99%94%75%91%100%
High cloud63%96%68%39%12%21%7%0%0%46%16%0%
Temperature3 °C7 °C5 °C4 °C4 °C3 °C1 °C0 °C-1 °C0 °C-1 °C-2 °C
Feels like0 °C6 °C4 °C4 °C3 °C-1 °C-3 °C-4 °C-5 °C-4 °C-5 °C-6 °C
Wind3 m/s2 m/s2 m/s1 m/s1 m/s4 m/s4 m/s3 m/s3 m/s4 m/s4 m/s4 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

Weather in Fort Smith

The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Fort Smith: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.

Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for Fort Smith on Atlas of Seasons.

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What you would see from Fort Smith

Facing north-north-east. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 2–4 · overhead NW 318° NNW 333° NNW 348° N 3° NNE 18° NNE 33° NE 48° ENE 63° ENE 78°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
0 Overhead and all around – – –
2 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
3 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
4 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
5 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
6 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
7 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet eye in Fort Smith Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled next 24 h Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

City sky. City lights hide all but the brightest displays. Plan to leave the urban area.

A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the south. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The horizon towards the north-north-east is open (terrain below 0.0°), so low aurora is not blocked.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Fort Smith

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

February has been the best month (74% of nights), followed by March (71%).

0%20%40%60%80% – Jul August: 60% Aug September: 58% Sept October: 34% Oct November: 26% Nov December: 58% Dec January: 59% Jan February: 74% Feb March: 71% Mar April: 64% Apr May: 16% May – Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 58% 58% 7.9 h 4° / 14°C
October 34% 34% 10.6 h -4° / 3°C
November 26% 26% 13.0 h -18° / -11°C
December 58% 58% 14.1 h -27° / -20°C
January 59% 59% 13.6 h -29° / -21°C
February 74% 74% 11.5 h -28° / -19°C
March 71% 71% 9.1 h -20° / -10°C
April 64% 64% 5.4 h -8° / 1°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
98%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (February)
100%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (February)
100%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (February)

Darkness through the year

Aurora nights in Fort Smith since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 4415442016: 2916292017: 2917292018: 61862019: 81982020: 62062021: 1021102022: 2222222023: 2923292024: 2024202025: 4125412026: 202620
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Fort Smith Airport (YSM) · 4 km
Typical low / high in February
-28° / -19°C
What to wear
Extreme cold: insulated boots, down jacket, two layers of wool, face protection, chemical hand warmers. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Rules are provincial: Québec requires winter tyres (mountain-snowflake symbol or studded) on Québec-registered vehicles Dec 1–Mar 15, and BC requires winter tyres or chains on signed routes Oct 1–Mar 31 (to Apr 30 on mountain passes/high-snowfall routes); road conditions via 511 Yukon (511yukon.ca), DriveNWT (drivenwt.ca), 511 Alberta, Manitoba 511 (manitoba511.ca) and DriveBC. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no national right to roam; private land requires the owner's permission, while national/provincial parks and Crown land are generally accessible subject to park rules, which vary by province and territory.
Official space-weather service
Space Weather Canada (Natural Resources Canada)
Weather service
Environment and Climate Change Canada (weather.gc.ca)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Fort Smith?

Fort Smith sits right under the auroral oval: on clear, dark nights the aurora is often overhead, even when activity is quiet. Clouds matter far more than the Kp number here.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Fort Smith?

Around Fort Smith the aurora is often right overhead. Start by facing north-north-east, but look up and all around — in strong storms it can fill the whole sky and even appear behind you.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Fort Smith?

Over 2005–2025, February gave the best odds in Fort Smith (74% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by March (71%).

When is the aurora season in Fort Smith?

From 10 May to 2 August the sky in Fort Smith never gets dark enough. Outside that period the aurora can be seen whenever activity and clouds allow.

Is there much light pollution in Fort Smith?

City lights hide all but the brightest displays. Plan to leave the urban area. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the south.

When was the aurora last possible in Fort Smith?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Fort Smith on 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0) — 789 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Fort Smith share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.