AuroraMeteo

Ontario, CanadaMagnetic latitude 58.2°Population 1,050330 m above sea level

Northern lights in Hornepayne

From Hornepayne the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 2.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:51.

Kp 0.7 · 476 km/s · Bz 2.5

Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 1.7.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Yes — good chance tonight

  • Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 4.7 expected, 2 needed here.
  • Sky Mostly clear (39% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:51 to 06:57.

What to do: Go somewhere dark around 03:00, give your eyes 15 minutes to adjust and look north, low over the horizon.

Tonight

Updated 07:19 local time

96/100

Excellent chance

Best around 03:00. Forecast max Kp 4.7 (this place needs 2), average cloud 39%.

Dark enough
19:51 – 06:57
Sunset
18:42 · sunrise 08:06
Moon
48% · ↑ 15:49 · ↓ 00:11
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 2
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 0.3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (356°)
Mon 19 Oct95Kp 3.7 · cloud 10%
Tue 20 Oct35Kp 3.3 · cloud 52%
Sun 18 19 · 4/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 35% Sun 18 20 · 26/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 70% Sun 18 21 · 29/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 66% Sun 18 22 · 33/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 61% Sun 18 23 · 12/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 85% Mon 19 00 · 40/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 60% Mon 19 01 · 69/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 31% Mon 19 02 · 49/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 50% Mon 19 03 · 96/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 2% Mon 19 04 · 95/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 2% Mon 19 05 · 81/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 13% Mon 19 06 · 73/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 21% Mon 19 07 · 13/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 8% Mon 19 19 · 39/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 1% Mon 19 20 · 71/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 8% Mon 19 21 · 60/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 22% Mon 19 22 · 65/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 16% Mon 19 23 · 79/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 0% Tue 20 00 · 63/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 20% Tue 20 01 · 94/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 3% Tue 20 02 · 95/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 1% Tue 20 03 · 95/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 0% Tue 20 04 · 93/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 3% Tue 20 05 · 65/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 16% Tue 20 06 · 72/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 7% Tue 20 07 · 8/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 29% Tue 20 19 · 31/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 16% Tue 20 20 · 35/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 48% Tue 20 21 · 35/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 48% Tue 20 22 · 35/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 48% 1218Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 2106
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 1218Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 2106
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeSun, 20Sun, 23Mon, 02Mon, 05Mon, 20Mon, 23Tue, 02Tue, 05Tue, 20Tue, 23Wed, 02Wed, 05
Low cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Mid cloud0%0%0%44%0%6%10%6%0%0%0%0%
High cloud100%69%45%75%0%0%0%9%19%37%60%83%
Temperature10 °C9 °C8 °C6 °C7 °C5 °C4 °C2 °C8 °C7 °C7 °C7 °C
Feels like10 °C7 °C6 °C3 °C6 °C5 °C4 °C1 °C6 °C5 °C5 °C4 °C
Wind7 m/s5 m/s4 m/s3 m/s1 m/s0 m/s1 m/s2 m/s3 m/s4 m/s4 m/s5 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

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Preview

What you would see from Hornepayne

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 4 · high overheadKp 2 · 10°–20° WNW 296° NW 311° NW 326° NNW 341° N 356° N 11° NNE 26° NE 41° NE 56°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Terrain not modelled for this place; the horizon is drawn flat.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Visible to the north 10° 20° 478 km
3 Visible to the north 21° 36° 256 km
4 Visible to the north 72° 80° 33 km
5 Overhead and all around – – –
6 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
7 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet eye in Hornepayne camera in Hornepayne Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) next 24 h Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Rural to suburban. Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out.

A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the south-south-west. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

Terrain is not modelled for this place.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Hornepayne

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

February has been the best month (42% of nights), followed by March (39%).

0%10%20%30%40%50% July: 28% Jul August: 29% Aug September: 39% Sept October: 27% Oct November: 17% Nov December: 22% Dec January: 32% Jan February: 42% Feb March: 39% Mar April: 31% Apr May: 22% May June: 24% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 39% 60% 9.0 h 7° / 18°C
October 27% 41% 10.8 h 1° / 9°C
November 17% 28% 12.4 h -7° / 0°C
December 22% 43% 13.1 h -17° / -8°C
January 32% 55% 12.8 h -22° / -11°C
February 42% 63% 11.4 h -21° / -11°C
March 39% 58% 9.6 h -14° / -4°C
April 31% 58% 7.8 h -5° / 6°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
81%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (February)
94%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (February)
98%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (February)

Aurora nights in Hornepayne since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 4815482016: 3316332017: 3417342018: 81882019: 1119112020: 32032021: 1221122022: 2822282023: 3523352024: 2424242025: 5325532026: 242624
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Nakina Airport (YQN) · 175 km
Typical low / high in February
-21° / -11°C
What to wear
Extreme cold: insulated boots, down jacket, two layers of wool, face protection, chemical hand warmers. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Rules are provincial: Québec requires winter tyres (mountain-snowflake symbol or studded) on Québec-registered vehicles Dec 1–Mar 15, and BC requires winter tyres or chains on signed routes Oct 1–Mar 31 (to Apr 30 on mountain passes/high-snowfall routes); road conditions via 511 Yukon (511yukon.ca), DriveNWT (drivenwt.ca), 511 Alberta, Manitoba 511 (manitoba511.ca) and DriveBC. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no national right to roam; private land requires the owner's permission, while national/provincial parks and Crown land are generally accessible subject to park rules, which vary by province and territory.
Official space-weather service
Space Weather Canada (Natural Resources Canada)
Weather service
Environment and Climate Change Canada (weather.gc.ca)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Hornepayne?

From Hornepayne the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 2.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Hornepayne?

Face north (about 356° from true north). At Kp 2 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 10° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Hornepayne?

Over 2005–2025, February gave the best odds in Hornepayne (42% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by March (39%).

When is the aurora season in Hornepayne?

Hornepayne gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Hornepayne?

Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the south-south-west.

When was the aurora last possible in Hornepayne?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Hornepayne on 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0) — 935 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Hornepayne share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.