AuroraMeteo

Ontario, CanadaMagnetic latitude 58.1°Population 1,330246 m above sea level

Northern lights in Smooth Rock Falls

From Smooth Rock Falls the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 2.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:39.

Kp 0.7 · 434 km/s · Bz 2.0

Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 0.7.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Maybe — worth a look

  • Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 2.7 expected, 2 needed here.
  • Sky Partly cloudy (74% cloud) — look for gaps.
  • Darkness Dark from 19:39 to 06:44.

What to do: Go somewhere dark around 06:00, give your eyes 15 minutes to adjust and look north, low over the horizon.

Tonight

Updated 13:30 local time

74/100

Excellent chance

Best around 06:00. Forecast max Kp 2.7 (this place needs 2), average cloud 74%.

Dark enough
19:39 – 06:44
Sunset
18:30 · sunrise 07:53
Moon
51% · ↑ 15:36 · ↓ 23:57
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 2
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 0.3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (354°)
Mon 19 Oct100Kp 4.7 · cloud 3%
Tue 20 Oct73Kp 3.7 · cloud 10%
Sun 18 19 · 4/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 83% Sun 18 20 · 10/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 84% Sun 18 21 · 7/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 90% Sun 18 22 · 15/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 77% Sun 18 23 · 13/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 76% Mon 19 00 · 17/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 74% Mon 19 01 · 9/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 86% Mon 19 02 · 8/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 77% Mon 19 03 · 8/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 77% Mon 19 04 · 7/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 81% Mon 19 05 · 23/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 73% Mon 19 06 · 74/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 15% Mon 19 19 · 40/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 0% Mon 19 20 · 81/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 0% Mon 19 21 · 80/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 0% Mon 19 22 · 80/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 0% Mon 19 23 · 80/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 0% Tue 20 00 · 80/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 0% Tue 20 01 · 100/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 0% Tue 20 02 · 98/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 0% Tue 20 03 · 92/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 6% Tue 20 04 · 95/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 2% Tue 20 05 · 76/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 18% Tue 20 06 · 88/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 5% Tue 20 19 · 38/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 1% Tue 20 20 · 73/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 2% Tue 20 21 · 69/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 8% Tue 20 22 · 71/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 6% 18Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 210612
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 18Mon 19061218Tue 20061218Wed 210612
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeSun, 19Sun, 22Mon, 01Mon, 04Mon, 19Mon, 22Tue, 01Tue, 04Tue, 19Tue, 22Wed, 01Wed, 04
Low cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Mid cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%13%0%0%0%0%
High cloud95%100%100%93%0%0%0%3%34%37%46%67%
Temperature12 °C11 °C10 °C9 °C8 °C5 °C4 °C2 °C8 °C6 °C5 °C5 °C
Feels like12 °C11 °C10 °C6 °C6 °C4 °C4 °C2 °C6 °C3 °C2 °C2 °C
Wind8 m/s7 m/s6 m/s5 m/s3 m/s2 m/s1 m/s0 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s4 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

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Preview

What you would see from Smooth Rock Falls

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 4 · high overheadKp 2 · 10°–20° WNW 294° NW 309° NW 324° NNW 339° N 354° N 9° NNE 24° NE 39° NE 54°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Terrain not modelled for this place; the horizon is drawn flat.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Visible to the north 10° 20° 489 km
3 Visible to the north 20° 35° 267 km
4 Visible to the north 67° 77° 44 km
5 Overhead and all around – – –
6 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
7 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet eye in Smooth Rock Falls camera in Smooth Rock Falls Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled next 24 h Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Pristine dark sky. Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

Terrain is not modelled for this place.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Smooth Rock Falls

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

March has been the best month (38% of nights), followed by February (37%).

0%10%20%30%40%50% July: 24% Jul August: 26% Aug September: 34% Sept October: 23% Oct November: 10% Nov December: 18% Dec January: 27% Jan February: 37% Feb March: 38% Mar April: 28% Apr May: 23% May June: 25% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 34% 52% 9.0 h 7° / 18°C
October 23% 38% 10.8 h 1° / 10°C
November 10% 19% 12.4 h -7° / 0°C
December 18% 36% 13.1 h -16° / -8°C
January 27% 46% 12.8 h -22° / -12°C
February 37% 57% 11.4 h -21° / -11°C
March 38% 57% 9.6 h -14° / -4°C
April 28% 53% 7.8 h -5° / 6°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
77%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (March)
91%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (March)
97%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (March)

Aurora nights in Smooth Rock Falls since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 4815482016: 3516352017: 3517352018: 81882019: 1119112020: 32032021: 1521152022: 2922292023: 3523352024: 2424242025: 5625562026: 252625
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Timmins/Victor M. Power (YTS) · 82 km
Typical low / high in March
-14° / -4°C
What to wear
Arctic cold: wool base layers, insulated jacket and trousers, warm boots, hat and mittens. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Rules are provincial: Québec requires winter tyres (mountain-snowflake symbol or studded) on Québec-registered vehicles Dec 1–Mar 15, and BC requires winter tyres or chains on signed routes Oct 1–Mar 31 (to Apr 30 on mountain passes/high-snowfall routes); road conditions via 511 Yukon (511yukon.ca), DriveNWT (drivenwt.ca), 511 Alberta, Manitoba 511 (manitoba511.ca) and DriveBC. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no national right to roam; private land requires the owner's permission, while national/provincial parks and Crown land are generally accessible subject to park rules, which vary by province and territory.
Official space-weather service
Space Weather Canada (Natural Resources Canada)
Weather service
Environment and Climate Change Canada (weather.gc.ca)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Smooth Rock Falls?

From Smooth Rock Falls the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 2.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Smooth Rock Falls?

Face north (about 354° from true north). At Kp 2 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 10° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Smooth Rock Falls?

Over 2005–2025, March gave the best odds in Smooth Rock Falls (38% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by February (37%).

When is the aurora season in Smooth Rock Falls?

Smooth Rock Falls gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Smooth Rock Falls?

Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

When was the aurora last possible in Smooth Rock Falls?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Smooth Rock Falls on 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0) — 955 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Smooth Rock Falls share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.