North Kazakhstan Region, KazakhstanMagnetic latitude 50.8°Population 4,147170 m above sea level

Can you see the northern lights in Timiryazevo?

From Timiryazevo the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 5.7 or more), usually as a glow low in the north. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does. Since 1995 that level (Kp 5.7) was reached during darkness here on 316 nights.

Right now

Quiet right now (Kp 0.0).

Kp 0.0 · 376 km/s · Bz -1.8

Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 1.7.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Only in photos, if at all

Solar activity Enough for a camera: Kp 4.7 expected, 4 needed for photos, 5.7 for the eye.
Sky Mostly clear (5% cloud).
Darkness Dark from 18:43 to 05:55.

What to do: Point a phone in night mode north (3–10 s exposure). A red or green glow often shows on the screen before you can see it.

Tonight is your chance

Wednesday 21 October, around 00:30

Photos only · Kp 4.7 is expected — enough for a camera here (photos from Kp 4), not for the eye. Forecast cloud: 5%. The moon will be 70% full.

Reliability: good Take a phone with night mode and point it north, low over the horizon.

Best night in this period: Friday 30 October (photos only).

Good chance Possible Photos only No

Detailed forecast Tue 20 4.7

Wed 21 3.3

Thu 22 2.7

27-day trend Fri 23 4

Sat 24 4

Sun 25 3

Mon 26 2

Tue 27 2

Wed 28 2

Thu 29 2

Fri 30 5

Sat 31 5

Sun 1 5

Mon 2 3

Tue 3 2

Wed 4 3

Thu 5 3

Fri 6 3

Sat 7 3

Sun 8 4

Mon 9 4

Tue 10 3

Wed 11 3

Thu 12 3

Fri 13 2

Sat 14 2

Wednesday 21 October — Photos only · Kp 4.7 · best around 00:30 · Forecast cloud: 5%. · Reliability: good

Each box is one night: the colour shows the chance, the number the expected Kp. Tap a night for details.

📅 Add these nights to your calendar — it updates itself (.ics)

How far ahead can the northern lights be forecast?

Minutes to an hour: satellites 1.5 million km away measure the solar wind before it reaches Earth. This is the surest warning — the “Right now” box uses it.
1–3 days: when the Sun throws out a cloud of particles, it takes one to three days to arrive. NOAA's 3-hourly forecast covers these nights; the timing can still be off by a few hours.
4–27 days: the Sun turns once every 27 days, and regions that disturbed Earth's field last time often do it again. NOAA's 27-day outlook gives this rough trend — new eruptions are not in it yet.

Tonight

Updated 23:08 local time

23/100

Possible

Best around 01:00. Forecast max Kp 4.7 (this place needs 5.7), average cloud 5%.

Dark enough: 18:43 – 05:55
Sunset: 17:26 · sunrise 07:12
Moon: 70% · ↑ 15:45 · ↓ 00:45
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.: Kp 5.7
Kp for photos: In photos: from Kp 4 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards: north (0°)

Wed 21 Oct1Kp 3.3 · cloud 74%

Thu 22 Oct0Kp 2.7 · cloud 66%

Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
Time	Tue, 23	Wed, 02	Wed, 05	Wed, 20	Wed, 23	Thu, 02	Thu, 05	Thu, 20	Thu, 23	Fri, 02	Fri, 05	Fri, 20
Low cloud	24%	12%	0%	34%	16%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Mid cloud	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
High cloud	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Temperature	6 °C	5 °C	4 °C	6 °C	5 °C	3 °C	3 °C	3 °C	1 °C	0 °C	-1 °C	1 °C
Feels like	1 °C	0 °C	-1 °C	2 °C	1 °C	-1 °C	-2 °C	-1 °C	-3 °C	-4 °C	-5 °C	1 °C
Wind	10 m/s	9 m/s	7 m/s	7 m/s	6 m/s	6 m/s	6 m/s	5 m/s	4 m/s	3 m/s	3 m/s	1 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

Weather in Timiryazevo

The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Timiryazevo: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.

Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for Timiryazevo on Atlas of Seasons.

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Preview

What you would see from Timiryazevo

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.

Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.
Kp	What you see	Lower edge	Ray tops	Distance to the aurora
2	Below the horizon	-1°	3°	1,301 km
3	Below the horizon	1°	5°	1,079 km
4	Faint glow, mostly on camera	3°	9°	856 km
5	Faint glow, mostly on camera	6°	14°	634 km
6	Visible to the north	12°	24°	411 km
7	Visible to the north	28°	45°	189 km
8	Overhead and all around	–	–	–
9	Overhead and all around	–	–	–

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

Kp 0–2 Quiet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
Kp 3 Unsettled Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
Kp 4 Active camera in Timiryazevo Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) next 24 h Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) eye in Timiryazevo Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Pristine dark sky. Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The horizon towards the north is open (terrain below 0.0°), so low aurora is not blocked.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Timiryazevo

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

September has been the best month (2% of nights), followed by May (1%).

All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum

Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
Month	Good nights	Clear nights	Darkness	Low / high
September	2%	56%	8.5 h	6° / 17°C
October	1%	43%	10.8 h	-1° / 8°C
November	0.3%	38%	12.5 h	-10° / -3°C
December	0.5%	42%	13.4 h	-19° / -12°C
January	0.5%	46%	12.9 h	-22° / -15°C
February	0.7%	40%	11.4 h	-19° / -11°C
March	0.9%	37%	9.5 h	-11° / -2°C
April	1%	54%	7.0 h	-1° / 11°C

7%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (September)

11%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (September)

16%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (September)

Aurora nights in Timiryazevo since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 5.7 or more while it was dark here.

Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

10 October 2026 · Kp 7.3
4 October 2026 · Kp 5.7
8 August 2026 · Kp 5.7
4 May 2026 · Kp 6.0
3 April 2026 · Kp 6.3
2 April 2026 · Kp 6.0
22 March 2026 · Kp 7.0
20 March 2026 · Kp 6.3

Practical information

Nearest airport: Kostanay International Airport (KSN) · 204 km
Typical low / high in September: 6° / 17°C
What to wear: Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Timiryazevo?

From Timiryazevo the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 5.7 or more), usually as a glow low in the north. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Timiryazevo?

Face north (about 0° from true north). At Kp 5.7 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 12° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Timiryazevo?

Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in Timiryazevo (2% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by May (1%).

When is the aurora season in Timiryazevo?

Timiryazevo gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Timiryazevo?

Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

When was the aurora last possible in Timiryazevo?

The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level Timiryazevo needs, during darkness, was 10 October 2026 (Kp 7.3). It has happened on 316 nights since 1995.

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