AuroraMeteo

Preiļi Municipality, LatviaMagnetic latitude 52.9°Population 1,053148 m above sea level

Northern lights in Jaunaglona

Jaunaglona needs an active night: from about Kp 4.7 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows. Since 1995 that level (Kp 4.7) was reached during darkness here on 968 nights.

Right now

Quiet right now (Kp 0.0).

Kp 0.0 · 469 km/s · Bz -0.2

Updates every minute while this page is open.

Tonight in one minute

Not tonight

  • Solar activity Enough for a camera: Kp 4 expected, 3 needed for photos, 4.7 for the eye.
  • Sky Overcast (98% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:15 to 06:37. A bright moon (81%) washes out faint displays.

What to do: Not tonight — your next chance is shown just below.

Tonight

Updated 03:31 local time

2/100

Unlikely

Best around 03:00. Forecast max Kp 4.0 (this place needs 4.7), average cloud 98%.

Dark enough
19:15 – 06:37
Sunset
17:54 · sunrise 08:00
Moon
81% · ↑ 16:37 · ↓ 02:46
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 4.7
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (0°)
Thu 22 Oct3Kp 2.7 · cloud 42%
Fri 23 Oct2Kp 2.3 · cloud 75%
Sat 24 Oct12Kp 4.3 · cloud 79%
Thu 22 03 · 2/100 · Kp 4.0 · cloud 95% Thu 22 04 · 1/100 · Kp 4.0 · cloud 96% Thu 22 19 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 0% Thu 22 20 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 0% Thu 22 21 · 2/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 6% Thu 22 22 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 38% Fri 23 01 · 1/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 75% Fri 23 02 · 3/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 28% Fri 23 03 · 2/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 2% Fri 23 04 · 2/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 21% Fri 23 05 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 61% Sat 24 02 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 33% Sat 24 03 · 2/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 13% Sat 24 04 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 29% Sat 24 05 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 63% Sat 24 19 · 10/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 41% Sat 24 20 · 8/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 54% Sat 24 21 · 12/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 67% Sat 24 22 · 7/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 80% Sat 24 23 · 3/100 · Kp 4.3 · cloud 92% 061218Fri 23061218Sat 24061218Sun 25
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 061218Fri 23061218Sat 24061218Sun 25
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeThu, 03Thu, 06Thu, 21Fri, 00Fri, 03Fri, 06Fri, 21Sat, 00Sat, 03Sat, 06Sat, 21Sun, 00
Low cloud0%0%5%9%15%15%93%90%83%67%0%5%
Mid cloud0%2%4%4%7%12%13%49%86%69%0%0%
High cloud0%0%27%13%0%15%9%43%72%52%21%67%
Temperature8 °C8 °C9 °C8 °C8 °C8 °C10 °C10 °C10 °C9 °C8 °C7 °C
Feels like5 °C5 °C7 °C6 °C5 °C5 °C8 °C8 °C8 °C7 °C6 °C4 °C
Wind4 m/s4 m/s5 m/s5 m/s4 m/s5 m/s5 m/s4 m/s4 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

Weather in Jaunaglona

The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Jaunaglona: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.

Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for Jaunaglona on Atlas of Seasons.

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What you would see from Jaunaglona

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 6.7 · high overheadKp 4.7 · 10°–20° WNW 300° NW 315° NNW 330° NNW 345° N 0° NNE 15° NNE 30° NE 45° ENE 60°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Terrain not modelled for this place; the horizon is drawn flat.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Below the horizon 1° 6° 1,068 km
3 Faint glow, mostly on camera 3° 9° 845 km
4 Faint glow, mostly on camera 7° 15° 623 km
5 Visible to the north 13° 24° 400 km
6 Visible to the north 30° 47° 178 km
7 Overhead and all around – – –
8 Overhead and all around – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled camera in Jaunaglona Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active next 24 h Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) eye in Jaunaglona Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Pristine dark sky. Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

Terrain is not modelled for this place.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Jaunaglona

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

September has been the best month (6% of nights), followed by April (4%).

0%10% July: 0% Jul August: 3% Aug September: 6% Sept October: 3% Oct November: 1% Nov December: 1% Dec January: 0% Jan February: 1% Feb March: 2% Mar April: 4% Apr May: 2% May – Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 6% 52% 8.4 h 9° / 17°C
October 3% 33% 10.8 h 3° / 9°C
November 0.8% 17% 12.6 h -1° / 3°C
December 1% 13% 13.6 h -6° / -2°C
January 0.3% 9% 13.1 h -9° / -4°C
February 1% 11% 11.4 h -9° / -3°C
March 2% 26% 9.4 h -5° / 3°C
April 4% 51% 6.5 h 1° / 11°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
17%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (September)
26%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (September)
35%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (September)

Darkness through the year

Aurora nights in Jaunaglona since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 3715372016: 4116412017: 3217322018: 1418142019: 81982020: 32032021: 1421142022: 3422342023: 2723272024: 2624262025: 6125612026: 292629
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Vilnius International Airport (VNO) · 202 km
Typical low / high in September
9° / 17°C
What to wear
Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
112
Winter driving
Winter tyres are mandatory 1 Dec – 1 Mar for vehicles up to 3.5 t, and since 1 Oct 2024 they must carry the 3PMSF (mountain-snowflake) symbol (M+S only no longer qualifies); studded tyres allowed 1 Oct – 1 May. Road conditions: Latvian State Roads (Latvijas Valsts ceļi) driving-conditions map. Road conditions
Access to land
Latvia has no Nordic-style right to roam: private land may be off-limits without the owner's consent, but state forests managed by LVM (outside protected areas) are open to the public, including overnight stays; nature reserves and strict zones of protected areas are restricted.
Weather service
Latvian Environment, Geology and Meteorology Centre (LVĢMC)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Jaunaglona?

Jaunaglona needs an active night: from about Kp 4.7 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Jaunaglona?

Face north (about 0° from true north). At Kp 4.7 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 13° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Jaunaglona?

Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in Jaunaglona (6% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by April (4%).

When is the aurora season in Jaunaglona?

From 29 May to 15 July the sky in Jaunaglona never gets dark enough. Outside that period the aurora can be seen whenever activity and clouds allow.

Is there much light pollution in Jaunaglona?

Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

When was the aurora last possible in Jaunaglona?

The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level Jaunaglona needs, during darkness, was 10 October 2026 (Kp 7.3). It has happened on 968 nights since 1995.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Jaunaglona share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.

Nearby places