Ontario, CanadaMagnetic latitude 52.9°Population 23,991271 m above sea level
Northern lights in East Gwillimbury
East Gwillimbury needs an active night: from about Kp 4.7 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows. Since 1995 that level (Kp 4.7) was reached during darkness here on 969 nights.
Right now
Activity is high enough for a camera right now: point your phone north, low over the horizon.
Updates every minute while this page is open.
Tonight in one minute
Yes — good chance tonight
- Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 4.7 expected, 4.7 needed here.
- Sky Mostly clear (17% cloud).
- Darkness Dark from 19:25 to 06:39. A bright moon (82%) washes out faint displays.
What to do: Go somewhere dark around 04:00, give your eyes 15 minutes to adjust and look north, low over the horizon.
Thursday 22 October — Good chance · Kp 4.7 · best around 03:30 · Forecast cloud: 17%. · Reliability: good
Each box is one night: the colour shows the chance, the number the expected Kp. Tap a night for details.
📅 Add these nights to your calendar — it updates itself (.ics)
How far ahead can the northern lights be forecast?
- Minutes to an hour: satellites 1.5 million km away measure the solar wind before it reaches Earth. This is the surest warning — the “Right now” box uses it.
- 1–3 days: when the Sun throws out a cloud of particles, it takes one to three days to arrive. NOAA's 3-hourly forecast covers these nights; the timing can still be off by a few hours.
- 4–27 days: the Sun turns once every 27 days, and regions that disturbed Earth's field last time often do it again. NOAA's 27-day outlook gives this rough trend — new eruptions are not in it yet.
Tonight
Updated 01:55 local time
Good chance
Best around 04:00. Forecast max Kp 4.7 (this place needs 4.7), average cloud 17%.
- Dark enough
- 19:25 – 06:39
- Sunset
- 18:22 · sunrise 07:42
- Moon
- 82% · ↑ 16:37 · ↓ 03:32
- Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
- Kp 4.7
- Kp for photos
- In photos: from Kp 3 (a red glow low in the north).
- Look towards
- north (352°)
Cloud layers and weather
Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.
| Time | Thu, 01 | Thu, 04 | Thu, 19 | Thu, 22 | Fri, 01 | Fri, 04 | Fri, 19 | Fri, 22 | Sat, 01 | Sat, 04 | Sat, 19 | Sat, 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low cloud | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mid cloud | 93% | 79% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| High cloud | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| Temperature | 7 °C | 7 °C | 11 °C | 8 °C | 6 °C | 4 °C | 7 °C | 5 °C | 4 °C | 3 °C | 9 °C | 7 °C |
| Feels like | 7 °C | 5 °C | 11 °C | 6 °C | 4 °C | 2 °C | 6 °C | 4 °C | 4 °C | 3 °C | 8 °C | 6 °C |
| Wind | 1 m/s | 2 m/s | 4 m/s | 3 m/s | 2 m/s | 2 m/s | 2 m/s | 2 m/s | 1 m/s | 1 m/s | 2 m/s | 1 m/s |
Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).
Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology
Weather in East Gwillimbury
The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for East Gwillimbury: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.
Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for East Gwillimbury on Atlas of Seasons.
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What you would see from East Gwillimbury
Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.
| Kp | What you see | Lower edge | Ray tops | Distance to the aurora |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Below the horizon | 1° | 6° | 1,068 km |
| 3 | Faint glow, mostly on camera | 3° | 9° | 845 km |
| 4 | Faint glow, mostly on camera | 7° | 15° | 623 km |
| 5 | Visible to the north | 13° | 24° | 400 km |
| 6 | Visible to the north | 30° | 47° | 178 km |
| 7 | Overhead and all around | – | – | – |
| 8 | Overhead and all around | – | – | – |
| 9 | Overhead, and also to the south | – | – | – |
The Kp scale in plain words
Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.
- Kp 0–2 Quiet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
- Kp 3 Unsettled camera in East Gwillimbury Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
- Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
- Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) next 24 h eye in East Gwillimbury Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
- Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
- Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
- Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
- Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).
Light pollution
Rural to suburban. Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out.
A noticeably darker area starts about 15 km to the north-east. Open in OpenStreetMap
Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.
Hills and mountains
The horizon towards the north is open (terrain below 0.6°), so low aurora is not blocked.
From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.
Best months to see the aurora in East Gwillimbury
Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.
September has been the best month (6% of nights), followed by October (4%).
| Month | Good nights | Clear nights | Darkness | Low / high |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September | 6% | 70% | 9.1 h | 13° / 23°C |
| October | 4% | 52% | 10.9 h | 7° / 15°C |
| November | 2% | 40% | 12.0 h | 0° / 7°C |
| December | 2% | 25% | 12.6 h | -5° / 1°C |
| January | 2% | 35% | 12.4 h | -9° / -2°C |
| February | 2% | 41% | 11.4 h | -9° / -2°C |
| March | 4% | 52% | 9.9 h | -5° / 4°C |
| April | 3% | 50% | 8.3 h | 1° / 10°C |
Aurora nights in East Gwillimbury since 1995
Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.
Most recent strong nights
- 4 October 2026 · Kp 5.0
- 3 October 2026 · Kp 5.0
- 7 September 2026 · Kp 5.0
- 3 July 2026 · Kp 7.0
- 24 June 2026 · Kp 5.0
- 15 May 2026 · Kp 5.7
- 18 April 2026 · Kp 5.3
- 17 April 2026 · Kp 5.3
Practical information
- Nearest airport
- Toronto Pearson International Airport (YYZ) · 50 km
- Typical low / high in September
- 13° / 23°C
- What to wear
- Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
- Emergency number
- 911
- Winter driving
- Rules are provincial: Québec requires winter tyres (mountain-snowflake symbol or studded) on Québec-registered vehicles Dec 1–Mar 15, and BC requires winter tyres or chains on signed routes Oct 1–Mar 31 (to Apr 30 on mountain passes/high-snowfall routes); road conditions via 511 Yukon (511yukon.ca), DriveNWT (drivenwt.ca), 511 Alberta, Manitoba 511 (manitoba511.ca) and DriveBC. Road conditions
- Access to land
- There is no national right to roam; private land requires the owner's permission, while national/provincial parks and Crown land are generally accessible subject to park rules, which vary by province and territory.
- Official space-weather service
- Space Weather Canada (Natural Resources Canada)
- Weather service
- Environment and Climate Change Canada (weather.gc.ca)
Questions and answers
What Kp do you need to see the aurora in East Gwillimbury?
East Gwillimbury needs an active night: from about Kp 4.7 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows.
Which way should I look for the aurora in East Gwillimbury?
Face north (about 352° from true north). At Kp 4.7 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 13° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.
What is the best month to see the aurora in East Gwillimbury?
Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in East Gwillimbury (6% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by October (4%).
When is the aurora season in East Gwillimbury?
East Gwillimbury gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.
Is there much light pollution in East Gwillimbury?
Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out. A noticeably darker area starts about 15 km to the north-east.
When was the aurora last possible in East Gwillimbury?
The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level East Gwillimbury needs, during darkness, was 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0). It has happened on 969 nights since 1995.
Also covered by this forecast
Villages and districts around East Gwillimbury share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.
- East Gwillimbury 5 km
- Pine Orchard 7 km
- Cedar Valley 8 km
- Maple Hill 9 km
- Alder 10 km
- Bradford 10 km
- Beverley Hills 11 km
- Beverley Isles 11 km
- Youngs Harbour 11 km
- Glenwood Beach 12 km
- Miami Beach 12 km
- Ravenshoe 12 km
- Coulson's Hill 13 km
- Jersey 13 km
- Mount Pleasant 15 km
- Georgina 19 km
- Baldwin 20 km
- Cedarbrae 20 km
- Egypt 22 km
- Vachell 23 km
- Georgina 24 km
- Virginia 27 km