AuroraMeteo

Ontario, CanadaMagnetic latitude 52.1°Population 76,382112 m above sea level

Northern lights in Stoney Creek

Stoney Creek needs an active night: from about Kp 5 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows. Since 1995 that level (Kp 5) was reached during darkness here on 651 nights.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:28.

Kp 3.0 · 467 km/s · Bz -4.4

Updates every minute while this page is open.

Tonight in one minute

Only in photos, if at all

  • Solar activity Enough for a camera: Kp 4.7 expected, 3.3 needed for photos, 5 for the eye.
  • Sky Partly cloudy (49% cloud) — look for gaps.
  • Darkness Dark from 19:28 to 06:39. A bright moon (78%) washes out faint displays.

What to do: Point a phone in night mode north (3–10 s exposure). A red or green glow often shows on the screen before you can see it.

Tonight

Updated 12:50 local time

19/100

Possible

Best around 19:00. Forecast max Kp 4.7 (this place needs 5), average cloud 49%.

Dark enough
19:28 – 06:39
Sunset
18:26 · sunrise 07:41
Moon
78% · ↑ 16:17 · ↓ 03:34
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 5
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 3.3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (352°)
Thu 22 Oct1Kp 2.7 · cloud 43%
Fri 23 Oct1Kp 2.3 · cloud 11%
Wed 21 19 · 19/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 20 · 18/100 · Kp 4.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 21 · 18/100 · Kp 4.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 22 · 18/100 · Kp 4.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 23 · 10/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 9% Thu 22 00 · 6/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 49% Thu 22 01 · 2/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 84% Thu 22 19 · 1/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 31% Thu 22 20 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 29% Thu 22 21 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 12% Thu 22 22 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 11% Thu 22 23 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 8% Fri 23 00 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 9% Fri 23 01 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 13% Fri 23 20 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 16% Fri 23 21 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 15% Fri 23 22 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 27% 1218Thu 22061218Fri 23061218Sat 2406
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 1218Thu 22061218Fri 23061218Sat 2406
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeWed, 19Wed, 22Thu, 01Thu, 04Thu, 19Thu, 22Fri, 01Fri, 04Fri, 19Fri, 22Sat, 01Sat, 04
Low cloud0%0%0%0%3%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Mid cloud0%14%38%32%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
High cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%8%3%0%0%0%
Temperature11 °C10 °C9 °C8 °C13 °C10 °C9 °C7 °C10 °C8 °C8 °C7 °C
Feels like11 °C10 °C9 °C7 °C13 °C10 °C7 °C5 °C7 °C6 °C6 °C5 °C
Wind1 m/s0 m/s2 m/s2 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s4 m/s4 m/s3 m/s3 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

Weather in Stoney Creek

The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Stoney Creek: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.

Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for Stoney Creek on Atlas of Seasons.

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What you would see from Stoney Creek

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 7 · high overheadKp 5 · 10°–20° WNW 292° NW 307° NW 322° NNW 337° N 352° N 7° NNE 22° NE 37° NE 52°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Below the horizon 0° 4° 1,156 km
3 Below the horizon 2° 8° 934 km
4 Faint glow, mostly on camera 5° 12° 712 km
5 Visible to the north 10° 20° 489 km
6 Visible to the north 20° 35° 267 km
7 Visible to the north 67° 77° 44 km
8 Overhead and all around – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled camera in Stoney Creek Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) next 24 h eye in Stoney Creek Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

City sky. City lights hide all but the brightest displays. Plan to leave the urban area.

A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the south-east. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The horizon towards the north is open (terrain below 0.4°), so low aurora is not blocked.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Stoney Creek

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

September has been the best month (4% of nights), followed by March (2%).

0%10% July: 1% Jul August: 2% Aug September: 4% Sept October: 2% Oct November: 1% Nov December: 0% Dec January: 1% Jan February: 2% Feb March: 2% Mar April: 1% Apr May: 1% May June: 1% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 4% 53% 9.3 h 14° / 24°C
October 2% 35% 10.9 h 7° / 16°C
November 1% 34% 12.0 h 1° / 9°C
December 0.3% 20% 12.6 h -4° / 2°C
January 0.5% 21% 12.3 h -8° / -1°C
February 2% 28% 11.1 h -8° / 0°C
March 2% 39% 9.9 h -4° / 6°C
April 1% 27% 8.3 h 1° / 13°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
12%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (September)
20%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (September)
26%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (September)

Aurora nights in Stoney Creek since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 5 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 4115412016: 2216222017: 1917192018: 61862019: 71972020: 12012021: 82182022: 1422142023: 2523252024: 1924192025: 3925392026: 212621
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport (YHM) · 14 km
Typical low / high in September
14° / 24°C
What to wear
Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Rules are provincial: Québec requires winter tyres (mountain-snowflake symbol or studded) on Québec-registered vehicles Dec 1–Mar 15, and BC requires winter tyres or chains on signed routes Oct 1–Mar 31 (to Apr 30 on mountain passes/high-snowfall routes); road conditions via 511 Yukon (511yukon.ca), DriveNWT (drivenwt.ca), 511 Alberta, Manitoba 511 (manitoba511.ca) and DriveBC. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no national right to roam; private land requires the owner's permission, while national/provincial parks and Crown land are generally accessible subject to park rules, which vary by province and territory.
Official space-weather service
Space Weather Canada (Natural Resources Canada)
Weather service
Environment and Climate Change Canada (weather.gc.ca)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Stoney Creek?

Stoney Creek needs an active night: from about Kp 5 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Stoney Creek?

Face north (about 352° from true north). At Kp 5 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 10° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Stoney Creek?

Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in Stoney Creek (4% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by March (2%).

When is the aurora season in Stoney Creek?

Stoney Creek gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Stoney Creek?

City lights hide all but the brightest displays. Plan to leave the urban area. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the south-east.

When was the aurora last possible in Stoney Creek?

The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level Stoney Creek needs, during darkness, was 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0). It has happened on 651 nights since 1995.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Stoney Creek share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.