AuroraMeteo

Scotland, United KingdomMagnetic latitude 54.2°Population 3,2206 m above sea level

Northern lights in Caol

Caol needs an active night: from about Kp 4 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows. Since 1995 that level (Kp 4.7) was reached during darkness here on 952 nights.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:38.

Kp 0.7 · 442 km/s · Bz -4.7

Updates every minute while this page is open.

Tonight in one minute

Only in photos, if at all

  • Solar activity Enough for a camera: Kp 2.7 expected, 2.3 needed for photos, 4 for the eye.
  • Sky Mostly clear (24% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:38 to 06:34.

What to do: Point a phone in night mode north (3–10 s exposure). A red or green glow often shows on the screen before you can see it.

Tonight

Updated 15:43 local time

12/100

Unlikely

Best around 22:00. Forecast max Kp 2.7 (this place needs 4), average cloud 24%.

Dark enough
19:38 – 06:34
Sunset
18:15 · sunrise 07:57
Moon
31% · ↑ 15:18 · ↓ 20:19
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 4
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 2.3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (354°)
Sat 17 Oct2Kp 1.7 · cloud 59%
Sun 18 Oct2Kp 1.7 · cloud 22%
Fri 16 19 · 2/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 27.3% Fri 16 20 · 4/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 21.1% Fri 16 21 · 3/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 28.9% Fri 16 22 · 12/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 14.1% Fri 16 23 · 12/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 13.3% Sat 17 00 · 12/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 14.1% Sat 17 01 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 6.2% Sat 17 02 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 38.3% Sat 17 03 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 12.5% Sat 17 04 · 3/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 4.7% Sat 17 05 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 12.5% Sat 17 21 · 1/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 44.5% Sat 17 22 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 35.9% Sat 17 23 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 24.2% Sun 18 00 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 32.8% Sun 18 01 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 37.5% Sun 18 02 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 13.3% Sun 18 03 · 1/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 55.5% Sun 18 20 · 1/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 10.2% Sun 18 21 · 1/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 19.5% Sun 18 22 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 28.9% Sun 18 23 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 9.4% Mon 19 00 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 14.1% Mon 19 01 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 9.4% Mon 19 02 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 24.2% Mon 19 03 · 2/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 17.2% 18Sat 17061218Sun 18061218Mon 190612
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

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What you would see from Caol

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 6 · high overheadKp 4 · 10°–20° WNW 294° NW 309° NW 324° NNW 339° N 354° N 9° NNE 24° NE 39° NE 54°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Below the horizon 2° 8° 923 km
3 Faint glow, mostly on camera 5° 13° 701 km
4 Visible to the north 10° 20° 478 km
5 Visible to the north 21° 36° 256 km
6 Visible to the north 72° 80° 33 km
7 Overhead and all around – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet camera in Caol Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled next 24 h Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active eye in Caol Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Dark rural sky. Little artificial light. Faint displays are visible once your eyes have adapted.

A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the north-west. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The terrain rises to about 5° above the horizon towards the north. That hides low aurora: here you need about Kp 4 instead of Kp 4. A hilltop, shore or open field with a clear view to the north helps.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Caol

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

March has been the best month (7% of nights), followed by September (6%).

0%10% July: 0% Jul August: 2% Aug September: 6% Sept October: 5% Oct November: 4% Nov December: 3% Dec January: 2% Jan February: 4% Feb March: 7% Mar April: 6% Apr May: 1% May – Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 6% 34% 8.4 h 8° / 13°C
October 5% 32% 10.8 h 5° / 10°C
November 4% 33% 12.8 h 2° / 6°C
December 3% 27% 13.6 h 0° / 4°C
January 2% 20% 13.3 h 0° / 3°C
February 4% 24% 11.4 h 0° / 4°C
March 7% 32% 9.3 h 0° / 5°C
April 6% 37% 6.3 h 2° / 8°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
19%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (March)
30%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (March)
39%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (March)

Darkness through the year

Aurora nights in Caol since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 3815382016: 4116412017: 3117312018: 1018102019: 91992020: 42042021: 1521152022: 3322332023: 2923292024: 2824282025: 5725572026: 292629
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Oban Airport (OBN) · 45 km
Glasgow Airport (GLA) · 115 km
Typical low / high in March
0° / 5°C
What to wear
Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
999 / 112
Winter driving
Winter tyres are not legally required anywhere in the UK (minimum tread 1.6 mm); check Traffic Scotland (trafficscotland.org) for Scottish trunk roads and National Highways for England's motorways and major A-roads. Road conditions
Access to land
In Scotland the Scottish Outdoor Access Code gives access rights over most land and inland water at any time of day or night (including responsible wild camping), provided you act responsibly and keep away from buildings; in England and Wales the CRoW Act right of access covers only mapped open access land, on foot, and excludes camping and driving unless the landowner allows it.
Official space-weather service
Met Office Space Weather (incl. aurora forecast)
Weather service
Met Office

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Caol?

Caol needs an active night: from about Kp 4 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Caol?

Face north (about 354° from true north). At Kp 4 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 10° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Caol?

Over 2005–2025, March gave the best odds in Caol (7% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by September (6%).

When is the aurora season in Caol?

From 23 May to 21 July the sky in Caol never gets dark enough. Outside that period the aurora can be seen whenever activity and clouds allow.

Is there much light pollution in Caol?

Little artificial light. Faint displays are visible once your eyes have adapted. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the north-west.

When was the aurora last possible in Caol?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Caol on 10 October 2026 (Kp 7.0) — 952 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Caol share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.