Scotland, United KingdomMagnetic latitude 52.5°Population 2,840187 m above sea level
Northern lights in New Cumnock
New Cumnock needs an active night: from about Kp 5 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows. Since 1995 that level (Kp 5) was reached during darkness here on 680 nights.
Right now
Activity is high enough here right now, but the sky is overcast (100 % cloud). Watch for gaps in the clouds and look north.
Updates every minute while this page is open.
Tonight in one minute
Only in photos, if at all
- Solar activity Enough for a camera: Kp 4.7 expected, 3.3 needed for photos, 5 for the eye.
- Sky Partly cloudy (56% cloud) — look for gaps.
- Darkness Dark from 19:22 to 06:40. A bright moon (79%) washes out faint displays.
What to do: Point a phone in night mode north (3–10 s exposure). A red or green glow often shows on the screen before you can see it.
Friday 30 October — Good chance · Kp 5 · best around 23:30 · No cloud forecast this far ahead; in October about 40% of nights are clear here. · Reliability: low (rough trend)
Each box is one night: the colour shows the chance, the number the expected Kp. Tap a night for details.
📅 Add these nights to your calendar — it updates itself (.ics)
How far ahead can the northern lights be forecast?
- Minutes to an hour: satellites 1.5 million km away measure the solar wind before it reaches Earth. This is the surest warning — the “Right now” box uses it.
- 1–3 days: when the Sun throws out a cloud of particles, it takes one to three days to arrive. NOAA's 3-hourly forecast covers these nights; the timing can still be off by a few hours.
- 4–27 days: the Sun turns once every 27 days, and regions that disturbed Earth's field last time often do it again. NOAA's 27-day outlook gives this rough trend — new eruptions are not in it yet.
Tonight
Updated 21:05 local time
Possible
Best around 03:00. Forecast max Kp 4.7 (this place needs 5), average cloud 56%.
- Dark enough
- 19:22 – 06:40
- Sunset
- 18:02 · sunrise 08:01
- Moon
- 79% · ↑ 16:34 · ↓ 02:59
- Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
- Kp 5
- Kp for photos
- In photos: from Kp 3.3 (a red glow low in the north).
- Look towards
- north (354°)
Cloud layers and weather
Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.
| Time | Wed, 21 | Thu, 00 | Thu, 03 | Thu, 06 | Thu, 21 | Fri, 00 | Fri, 03 | Fri, 06 | Fri, 21 | Sat, 00 | Sat, 03 | Sat, 06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low cloud | 75% | 48% | 33% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 56% | 5% | 27% | 32% | 29% |
| Mid cloud | 57% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 69% | 95% | 100% | 100% | 1% | 0% | 29% | 88% |
| High cloud | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 58% | 93% | 100% | 100% | 22% | 87% | 100% | 100% |
| Temperature | 7 °C | 7 °C | 6 °C | 6 °C | 5 °C | 5 °C | 5 °C | 5 °C | 5 °C | 5 °C | 5 °C | 5 °C |
| Feels like | 2 °C | 3 °C | 3 °C | 2 °C | 3 °C | 3 °C | 3 °C | 2 °C | 2 °C | 2 °C | 2 °C | 3 °C |
| Wind | 8 m/s | 6 m/s | 5 m/s | 4 m/s | 2 m/s | 2 m/s | 2 m/s | 3 m/s | 4 m/s | 3 m/s | 3 m/s | 3 m/s |
Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).
Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology
Weather in New Cumnock
The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for New Cumnock: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.
Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for New Cumnock on Atlas of Seasons.
Seeing it right now?
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Live webcams near New Cumnock
Check the sky for yourself: public cameras within 300 km. They open on the camera owner's website.
- Fort William ↗ Open the live camera (opens in a new tab) Scenic
- Cresswell, Northumberland aurora cam ↗ Open the live camera (opens in a new tab) Scenic
- Cairngorm Mountain (towards Loch Morlich) ↗ Open the live camera (opens in a new tab) Scenic
- Aberdeenshire all-sky & aurora cams ↗ Open the live camera (opens in a new tab) All-sky
These cameras belong to their owners — we only link to them. Most show little in daylight or under cloud, and some pause in summer.
Do you host guests in New Cumnock? Give them a free aurora forecast page and a QR poster for your property. Create a guest page →
What you would see from New Cumnock
Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.
| Kp | What you see | Lower edge | Ray tops | Distance to the aurora |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Below the horizon | 0° | 5° | 1,112 km |
| 3 | Below the horizon | 3° | 8° | 890 km |
| 4 | Faint glow, mostly on camera | 6° | 13° | 667 km |
| 5 | Visible to the north | 11° | 22° | 445 km |
| 6 | Visible to the north | 24° | 41° | 222 km |
| 7 | Overhead and all around | – | – | – |
| 8 | Overhead and all around | – | – | – |
| 9 | Overhead, and also to the south | – | – | – |
The Kp scale in plain words
Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.
- Kp 0–2 Quiet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
- Kp 3 Unsettled camera in New Cumnock Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
- Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
- Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) next 24 h eye in New Cumnock Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
- Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
- Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
- Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
- Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).
Light pollution
Rural to suburban. Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out.
A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the east-south-east. Open in OpenStreetMap
Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.
Hills and mountains
The horizon towards the north is open (terrain below 2.2°), so low aurora is not blocked.
From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.
Best months to see the aurora in New Cumnock
Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.
September has been the best month (4% of nights), followed by March (3%).
| Month | Good nights | Clear nights | Darkness | Low / high |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September | 4% | 44% | 8.4 h | 10° / 15°C |
| October | 1% | 40% | 10.8 h | 8° / 12°C |
| November | 1% | 36% | 12.6 h | 5° / 8°C |
| December | 0.8% | 33% | 13.6 h | 3° / 6°C |
| January | 2% | 31% | 13.1 h | 2° / 5°C |
| February | 2% | 34% | 11.4 h | 2° / 6°C |
| March | 3% | 39% | 9.4 h | 3° / 7°C |
| April | 2% | 46% | 6.5 h | 4° / 10°C |
Darkness through the year
- No full darkness (Sun 12° below the horizon) from 1 June to 12 July — the sky stays too bright for most auroras.
- Next new moon 9 November, next full moon 26 October. The darkest skies are in the week around new moon.
Aurora nights in New Cumnock since 1995
Nights when Kp reached 5 or more while it was dark here.
Most recent strong nights
- 10 October 2026 · Kp 7.0
- 4 October 2026 · Kp 5.7
- 3 July 2026 · Kp 5.3
- 5 June 2026 · Kp 5.0
- 15 May 2026 · Kp 6.0
- 3 April 2026 · Kp 5.7
- 22 March 2026 · Kp 6.7
- 20 March 2026 · Kp 7.0
Practical information
- Nearest airport
- Glasgow Prestwick Airport (PIK) · 27 km
- Typical low / high in September
- 10° / 15°C
- What to wear
- Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
- Emergency number
- 999 / 112
- Winter driving
- Winter tyres are not legally required anywhere in the UK (minimum tread 1.6 mm); check Traffic Scotland (trafficscotland.org) for Scottish trunk roads and National Highways for England's motorways and major A-roads. Road conditions
- Access to land
- In Scotland the Scottish Outdoor Access Code gives access rights over most land and inland water at any time of day or night (including responsible wild camping), provided you act responsibly and keep away from buildings; in England and Wales the CRoW Act right of access covers only mapped open access land, on foot, and excludes camping and driving unless the landowner allows it.
- Official space-weather service
- Met Office Space Weather (incl. aurora forecast)
- Weather service
- Met Office
Questions and answers
What Kp do you need to see the aurora in New Cumnock?
New Cumnock needs an active night: from about Kp 5 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows.
Which way should I look for the aurora in New Cumnock?
Face north (about 354° from true north). At Kp 5 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 11° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.
What is the best month to see the aurora in New Cumnock?
Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in New Cumnock (4% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by March (3%).
When is the aurora season in New Cumnock?
From 1 June to 12 July the sky in New Cumnock never gets dark enough. Outside that period the aurora can be seen whenever activity and clouds allow.
Is there much light pollution in New Cumnock?
Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the east-south-east.
When was the aurora last possible in New Cumnock?
The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level New Cumnock needs, during darkness, was 10 October 2026 (Kp 7.0). It has happened on 680 nights since 1995.
Also covered by this forecast
Villages and districts around New Cumnock share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.
- Afton Bridgend 0 km
- Pathhead 1 km
- Bankglen 2 km
- Burnside 4 km
- Dalleagles 5 km