AuroraMeteo

Alaska, United StatesMagnetic latitude 65.1°Population 2,422224 m above sea level

Northern lights in Ester

Ester sits right under the auroral oval: on clear, dark nights the aurora is often overhead, even when activity is quiet. Clouds matter far more than the Kp number here.

Right now

The aurora may be in view right now — go outside and look north-north-east!

Kp 0.7 · 439 km/s · Bz -4.7

Updates every minute while this page is open.

Tonight in one minute

Yes — good chance tonight

  • Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 2 expected, 0 needed here.
  • Sky Mostly clear (5% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 20:11 to 07:04.

What to do: Go somewhere dark around 06:00, give your eyes 15 minutes to adjust and look north-north-east, low over the horizon.

Tonight

Updated 06:39 local time

63/100

Excellent chance

Best around 06:00. Forecast max Kp 2.0 (this place needs 0), average cloud 5%.

Dark enough
20:11 – 07:04
Sunset
18:25 · sunrise 08:51
Moon
31%
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 0
Look towards
north-north-east (20°)
Fri 16 Oct23Kp 1.7 · cloud 91%
Sat 17 Oct38Kp 1.7 · cloud 74%
Fri 16 06 · 63/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 3.9% Fri 16 07 · 37/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 5.5% Fri 16 20 · 6/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 91.4% Fri 16 21 · 7/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 89.8% Fri 16 22 · 7/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 85.2% Fri 16 23 · 2/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 96.9% Sat 17 00 · 1/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 97.7% Sat 17 01 · 23/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 54.7% Sat 17 02 · 15/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 70.3% Sat 17 03 · 4/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 92.2% Sun 18 00 · 1/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 98.4% Sun 18 01 · 7/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 85.2% Sun 18 02 · 10/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 81.2% Sun 18 03 · 13/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 75% Sun 18 04 · 27/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 46.9% Sun 18 05 · 38/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 24.2% Sun 18 06 · 38/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 25.8% Sun 18 07 · 19/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 24.2% 061218Sat 17061218Sun 18061218Mon 19
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

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What you would see from Ester

Facing north-north-east. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 2–4 · overhead NW 320° NNW 335° N 350° N 5° NNE 20° NE 35° NE 50° ENE 65° E 80°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
0 Visible to the north-north-east 33° 51° 156 km
2 Overhead and all around – – –
3 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
4 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
5 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
6 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
7 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet next 24 h eye in Ester Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Dark rural sky. Little artificial light. Faint displays are visible once your eyes have adapted.

A noticeably darker area starts about 10 km to the west-north-west. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The terrain rises to about 5° above the horizon towards the north-north-east. That hides low aurora: here you need about Kp 0 instead of Kp 0. A hilltop, shore or open field with a clear view to the north-north-east helps.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Ester

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

March has been the best month (72% of nights), followed by January (71%).

0%20%40%60%80% – Jul August: 13% Aug September: 37% Sept October: 33% Oct November: 60% Nov December: 65% Dec January: 71% Jan February: 68% Feb March: 72% Mar April: 48% Apr – May – Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 37% 37% 6.9 h 3° / 10°C
October 33% 33% 10.5 h -6° / 0°C
November 60% 60% 13.3 h -18° / -13°C
December 65% 65% 14.6 h -21° / -15°C
January 71% 71% 14.1 h -23° / -17°C
February 68% 68% 11.5 h -21° / -13°C
March 72% 72% 8.4 h -18° / -8°C
April 48% 72% 2.4 h -8° / 2°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
98%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (March)
100%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (March)
100%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (March)

Darkness through the year

Aurora nights in Ester since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 3615362016: 2016202017: 2317232018: 61862019: 51952020: 52052021: 92192022: 2222222023: 2223222024: 1624162025: 3625362026: 212621
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Fairbanks International Airport (FAI) · 8 km
Typical low / high in March
-18° / -8°C
What to wear
Arctic cold: wool base layers, insulated jacket and trousers, warm boots, hat and mittens. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Tyre and chain rules are set at state level; check Alaska 511 (511.alaska.gov, Alaska DOT&PF) for Alaska roads, or the relevant state's 511 service elsewhere. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no general right to roam; trespass law is set by each state, so stay on public land (national parks, national forests, BLM land) or get the landowner's permission, and follow each park's night-time and parking rules.
Official space-weather service
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (aurora dashboard)
Weather service
National Weather Service (NOAA)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Ester?

Ester sits right under the auroral oval: on clear, dark nights the aurora is often overhead, even when activity is quiet. Clouds matter far more than the Kp number here.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Ester?

Face north-north-east (about 20° from true north). At Kp 0 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 33° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Ester?

Over 2005–2025, March gave the best odds in Ester (72% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by January (71%).

When is the aurora season in Ester?

From 23 April to 19 August the sky in Ester never gets dark enough. Outside that period the aurora can be seen whenever activity and clouds allow.

Is there much light pollution in Ester?

Little artificial light. Faint displays are visible once your eyes have adapted. A noticeably darker area starts about 10 km to the west-north-west.

When was the aurora last possible in Ester?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Ester on 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0) — 648 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Ester share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.