AuroraMeteo

Alaska, United StatesMagnetic latitude 61.5°Population 2,10264 m above sea level

Northern lights in Willow

From Willow the aurora can show up on almost any clear, dark night — low to the north-north-east when activity is quiet, higher and overhead when it picks up. Since 1995 that level (Kp 4.7) was reached during darkness here on 691 nights.

Right now

The aurora may be in view right now — go outside and look north-north-east!

Kp 1.3 · 443 km/s · Bz -4.7

Updates every minute while this page is open.

Tonight in one minute

Not tonight

  • Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 2 expected, 0.3 needed here.
  • Sky Overcast (94% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 20:18 to 07:14.

What to do: Not tonight — your next chance is shown just below.

Tonight

Updated 06:36 local time

7/100

Unlikely

Best around 06:00. Forecast max Kp 2.0 (this place needs 0.3), average cloud 94%.

Dark enough
20:18 – 07:14
Sunset
18:42 · sunrise 08:50
Moon
31% · ↑ 17:44 · ↓ 19:56
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 0.3
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 0 (a red glow low in the north-north-east).
Look towards
north-north-east (20°)
Fri 16 Oct54Kp 1.7 · cloud 38%
Sat 17 Oct36Kp 1.7 · cloud 49%
Fri 16 06 · 7/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 89.8% Fri 16 07 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 97.7% Fri 16 20 · 39/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 39.8% Fri 16 21 · 54/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 17.2% Fri 16 22 · 48/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 4.7% Fri 16 23 · 49/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 3.9% Sat 17 00 · 36/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 29.7% Sat 17 01 · 26/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 49.2% Sat 17 02 · 14/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 72.7% Sat 17 03 · 23/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 55.5% Sat 17 04 · 35/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 30.5% Sat 17 05 · 33/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 34.4% Sat 17 06 · 27/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 46.9% Sat 17 07 · 9/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 66.4% Sat 17 19 · 1/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 93.7% Sat 17 20 · 8/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 85.2% Sat 17 21 · 22/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 60.9% Sat 17 22 · 28/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 44.5% Sat 17 23 · 33/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 35.2% Sun 18 00 · 35/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 30.5% Sun 18 01 · 33/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 34.4% Sun 18 02 · 34/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 32.8% Sun 18 03 · 36/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 28.1% Sun 18 04 · 33/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 34.4% Sun 18 05 · 30/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 41.4% Sun 18 06 · 27/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 46.9% Sun 18 07 · 9/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 62.5% 061218Sat 17061218Sun 18061218Mon 19
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

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What you would see from Willow

Facing north-north-east. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 4 · overheadKp 2 · high overhead NW 320° NNW 335° N 350° N 5° NNE 20° NE 35° NE 50° ENE 65° E 80°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
1 Visible to the north-north-east 16° 29° 334 km
2 Visible to the north-north-east 43° 60° 111 km
3 Overhead and all around – – –
4 Overhead and all around – – –
5 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
6 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
7 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet next 24 h eye in Willow camera in Willow Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Pristine dark sky. Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The horizon towards the north-north-east is open (terrain below 1.3°), so low aurora is not blocked.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Willow

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

March has been the best month (61% of nights), followed by January (54%).

0%20%40%60% – Jul August: 15% Aug September: 27% Sept October: 37% Oct November: 49% Nov December: 47% Dec January: 54% Jan February: 54% Feb March: 61% Mar April: 49% Apr – May – Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 27% 29% 7.6 h 4° / 11°C
October 37% 40% 10.6 h -3° / 3°C
November 49% 55% 13.1 h -11° / -6°C
December 47% 53% 14.1 h -13° / -8°C
January 54% 57% 13.6 h -14° / -9°C
February 54% 57% 11.5 h -13° / -6°C
March 61% 64% 8.8 h -12° / -3°C
April 49% 58% 5.0 h -5° / 3°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
94%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (March)
99%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (March)
100%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (March)

Darkness through the year

Aurora nights in Willow since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 3815382016: 2316232017: 2517252018: 61862019: 61962020: 52052021: 82182022: 2222222023: 2423242024: 1924192025: 3625362026: 212621
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Ted Stevens Anchorage International Airport (ANC) · 63 km
Typical low / high in March
-12° / -3°C
What to wear
Arctic cold: wool base layers, insulated jacket and trousers, warm boots, hat and mittens. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Tyre and chain rules are set at state level; check Alaska 511 (511.alaska.gov, Alaska DOT&PF) for Alaska roads, or the relevant state's 511 service elsewhere. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no general right to roam; trespass law is set by each state, so stay on public land (national parks, national forests, BLM land) or get the landowner's permission, and follow each park's night-time and parking rules.
Official space-weather service
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (aurora dashboard)
Weather service
National Weather Service (NOAA)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Willow?

From Willow the aurora can show up on almost any clear, dark night — low to the north-north-east when activity is quiet, higher and overhead when it picks up.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Willow?

Face north-north-east (about 20° from true north). At Kp 0.3 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 16° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Willow?

Over 2005–2025, March gave the best odds in Willow (61% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by January (54%).

When is the aurora season in Willow?

From 5 May to 8 August the sky in Willow never gets dark enough. Outside that period the aurora can be seen whenever activity and clouds allow.

Is there much light pollution in Willow?

Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.

When was the aurora last possible in Willow?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Willow on 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0) — 691 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Willow share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.