AuroraMeteo

Montana, United StatesMagnetic latitude 54.5°Population 2,011895 m above sea level

Northern lights in Baker

Baker needs an active night: from about Kp 4 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows. Since 1995 storms of Kp 4.7 or more reached this place during darkness on 926 nights.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:05.

Kp 4.7 · 487 km/s · Bz -1.4

Updates every minute while this page is open.

Tonight in one minute

Yes — good chance tonight

  • Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 4.7 expected, 4 needed here.
  • Sky Mostly clear (13% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:05 to 06:18. A bright moon (80%) washes out faint displays.

What to do: Go somewhere dark around 00:00, give your eyes 15 minutes to adjust and look north, low over the horizon.

Tonight

Updated 17:03 local time

65/100

Excellent chance

Best around 00:00. Forecast max Kp 4.7 (this place needs 4), average cloud 13%.

Dark enough
19:05 – 06:18
Sunset
17:59 · sunrise 07:24
Moon
80% · ↑ 16:01 · ↓ 03:14
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 4
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 2.3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (10°)
Thu 22 Oct5Kp 2.3 · cloud 51%
Fri 23 Oct6Kp 2.3 · cloud 81%
Wed 21 19 · 50/100 · Kp 4.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 20 · 49/100 · Kp 4.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 21 · 38/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 22 · 38/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 23 · 38/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 0% Thu 22 00 · 65/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 0% Thu 22 01 · 65/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 0% Thu 22 02 · 65/100 · Kp 4.7 · cloud 0% Thu 22 03 · 36/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 0% Thu 22 04 · 35/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 3% Thu 22 05 · 10/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 73% Thu 22 06 · 2/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 77% Thu 22 19 · 5/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 18% Thu 22 20 · 5/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 23% Thu 22 21 · 2/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 37% Thu 22 22 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 58% Thu 22 23 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 65% Fri 23 01 · 1/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 69% Fri 23 02 · 1/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 63% Fri 23 03 · 1/100 · Kp 1.0 · cloud 10% Fri 23 19 · 6/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 2% Fri 23 20 · 4/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 27% 18Thu 22061218Fri 23061218Sat 240612
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 18Thu 22061218Fri 23061218Sat 240612
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeWed, 19Wed, 22Thu, 01Thu, 04Thu, 19Thu, 22Fri, 01Fri, 04Fri, 19Fri, 22Sat, 01Sat, 04
Low cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%19%30%34%
Mid cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%6%24%0%0%0%0%
High cloud0%0%0%0%60%54%51%60%0%0%0%0%
Temperature15 °C14 °C12 °C11 °C19 °C17 °C15 °C14 °C19 °C11 °C5 °C4 °C
Feels like15 °C14 °C12 °C11 °C19 °C17 °C15 °C14 °C19 °C11 °C0 °C-2 °C
Wind6 m/s6 m/s6 m/s4 m/s4 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s8 m/s11 m/s12 m/s10 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

Weather in Baker

The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Baker: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.

Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for Baker on Atlas of Seasons.

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What you would see from Baker

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 6 · overheadKp 4 · 11°–22° NW 310° NW 325° NNW 340° N 355° N 10° NNE 25° NE 40° NE 55° ENE 70°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Below the horizon 3° 8° 890 km
3 Faint glow, mostly on camera 6° 13° 667 km
4 Visible to the north 11° 22° 445 km
5 Visible to the north 24° 41° 222 km
6 Overhead and all around – – –
7 Overhead and all around – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet camera in Baker Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active eye in Baker Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) next 24 h Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Suburban sky. Noticeable sky glow. Bright displays are visible, but driving out of town makes a clear difference.

A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the east-south-east. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The horizon towards the north is open (terrain below 0.5°), so low aurora is not blocked.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Baker

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

September has been the best month (14% of nights), followed by October (9%).

0%10%20% July: 6% Jul August: 6% Aug September: 14% Sept October: 9% Oct November: 7% Nov December: 5% Dec January: 5% Jan February: 6% Feb March: 6% Mar April: 8% Apr May: 7% May June: 4% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 14% 75% 9.1 h 10° / 24°C
October 9% 64% 10.9 h 2° / 14°C
November 7% 55% 12.0 h -4° / 7°C
December 5% 45% 12.9 h -9° / 0°C
January 5% 53% 12.4 h -10° / 0°C
February 6% 48% 11.4 h -10° / 1°C
March 6% 47% 9.9 h -4° / 8°C
April 8% 58% 7.9 h -1° / 13°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
37%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (September)
53%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (September)
65%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (September)

Aurora nights in Baker since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 5115512016: 3116312017: 3217322018: 71872019: 91992020: 52052021: 1021102022: 2722272023: 3323332024: 2324232025: 5325532026: 242624
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Dawson Community Airport (GDV) · 94 km
Typical low / high in September
10° / 24°C
What to wear
Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Tyre and chain rules are set at state level; check Alaska 511 (511.alaska.gov, Alaska DOT&PF) for Alaska roads, or the relevant state's 511 service elsewhere. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no general right to roam; trespass law is set by each state, so stay on public land (national parks, national forests, BLM land) or get the landowner's permission, and follow each park's night-time and parking rules.
Official space-weather service
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (aurora dashboard)
Weather service
National Weather Service (NOAA)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Baker?

Baker needs an active night: from about Kp 4 the aurora appears low over the north horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Baker?

Face north (about 10° from true north). At Kp 4 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 11° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Baker?

Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in Baker (14% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by October (9%).

When is the aurora season in Baker?

Baker gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Baker?

Noticeable sky glow. Bright displays are visible, but driving out of town makes a clear difference. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the east-south-east.

When was the aurora last possible in Baker?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Baker on 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0) — 926 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Baker share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.