AuroraMeteo

North Dakota, United StatesMagnetic latitude 56.3°Population 1,263589 m above sea level

Northern lights in Parshall

From Parshall the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 3.

Right now

Activity is high enough for a camera right now: point your phone north, low over the horizon.

Kp 1.7 · 404 km/s · Bz -2.8

Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 2.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Yes — good chance tonight

  • Solar activity Strong enough: Kp 3 expected, 3 needed here.
  • Sky Mostly clear (0% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:56 to 07:10. A bright moon (76%) washes out faint displays.

What to do: Go somewhere dark around 05:00, give your eyes 15 minutes to adjust and look north, low over the horizon.

Tonight

Updated 05:18 local time

65/100

Excellent chance

Best around 05:00. Forecast max Kp 3.0 (this place needs 3), average cloud 0%.

Dark enough
19:56 – 07:10
Sunset
18:48 · sunrise 08:18
Moon
76% · ↑ 16:55 · ↓ 02:51
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 3
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 1.3 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (10°)
Wed 21 Oct65Kp 3.7 · cloud 0%
Thu 22 Oct11Kp 1.7 · cloud 8%
Fri 23 Oct55Kp 3.3 · cloud 40%
Wed 21 05 · 65/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 06 · 65/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 0% Wed 21 07 · 5/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 0% Wed 21 19 · 6/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 20 · 39/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 21 · 38/100 · Kp 2.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 22 · 65/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 0% Wed 21 23 · 65/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 0% Thu 22 00 · 65/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 0% Thu 22 01 · 27/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 0% Thu 22 02 · 27/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 0% Thu 22 03 · 27/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 0% Thu 22 04 · 23/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 0% Thu 22 05 · 23/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 0% Thu 22 06 · 23/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 0% Thu 22 07 · 7/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 0% Thu 22 19 · 1/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 7% Thu 22 20 · 10/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 2% Thu 22 21 · 11/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 0% Thu 22 22 · 11/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 0% Thu 22 23 · 10/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 6% Fri 23 00 · 10/100 · Kp 1.7 · cloud 2% Fri 23 01 · 6/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 8% Fri 23 02 · 6/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 3% Fri 23 03 · 6/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 2% Fri 23 04 · 6/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 2% Fri 23 05 · 7/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 16% Fri 23 06 · 7/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 12% Fri 23 07 · 3/100 · Kp 1.3 · cloud 40% Fri 23 19 · 8/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 1% Fri 23 20 · 55/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 1% Fri 23 21 · 55/100 · Kp 3.3 · cloud 1% 061218Thu 22061218Fri 23061218Sat 24
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 061218Thu 22061218Fri 23061218Sat 24
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeWed, 05Wed, 21Thu, 00Thu, 03Thu, 06Thu, 21Fri, 00Fri, 03Fri, 06Fri, 21Sat, 00Sat, 03
Low cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%27%
Mid cloud0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%5%0%0%22%
High cloud16%0%0%0%0%57%55%52%49%0%0%0%
Temperature5 °C12 °C10 °C9 °C8 °C17 °C15 °C13 °C13 °C18 °C14 °C10 °C
Feels like3 °C12 °C10 °C7 °C6 °C17 °C15 °C13 °C13 °C18 °C14 °C10 °C
Wind3 m/s4 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s3 m/s2 m/s8 m/s11 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

Weather in Parshall

The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Parshall: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.

Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for Parshall on Atlas of Seasons.

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What you would see from Parshall

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 5 · high overheadKp 3 · 10°–21° NW 310° NW 325° NNW 340° N 355° N 10° NNE 25° NE 40° NE 55° ENE 70°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Terrain not modelled for this place; the horizon is drawn flat.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Faint glow, mostly on camera 5° 13° 689 km
3 Visible to the north 10° 21° 467 km
4 Visible to the north 22° 38° 245 km
5 Visible to the north 78° 83° 22 km
6 Overhead and all around – – –
7 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
8 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet camera in Parshall Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled next 24 h eye in Parshall Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Rural to suburban. Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out.

A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the east-south-east. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

Terrain is not modelled for this place.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Parshall

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

February has been the best month (24% of nights), followed by September (23%).

0%10%20%30% July: 13% Jul August: 18% Aug September: 23% Sept October: 22% Oct November: 16% Nov December: 13% Dec January: 17% Jan February: 24% Feb March: 15% Mar April: 14% Apr May: 13% May June: 9% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 23% 71% 9.1 h 9° / 22°C
October 22% 59% 10.9 h 2° / 12°C
November 16% 46% 12.1 h -5° / 3°C
December 13% 48% 13.0 h -13° / -5°C
January 17% 55% 12.5 h -15° / -6°C
February 24% 61% 11.4 h -14° / -4°C
March 15% 46% 9.9 h -6° / 5°C
April 14% 54% 7.8 h -1° / 12°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
56%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (February)
75%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (February)
85%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (February)

Aurora nights in Parshall since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 5115512016: 3116312017: 3217322018: 71872019: 91992020: 52052021: 1021102022: 2722272023: 3323332024: 2324232025: 5225522026: 242624
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Minot International Airport (MOT) · 72 km
Typical low / high in February
-14° / -4°C
What to wear
Arctic cold: wool base layers, insulated jacket and trousers, warm boots, hat and mittens. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Tyre and chain rules are set at state level; check Alaska 511 (511.alaska.gov, Alaska DOT&PF) for Alaska roads, or the relevant state's 511 service elsewhere. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no general right to roam; trespass law is set by each state, so stay on public land (national parks, national forests, BLM land) or get the landowner's permission, and follow each park's night-time and parking rules.
Official space-weather service
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (aurora dashboard)
Weather service
National Weather Service (NOAA)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Parshall?

From Parshall the aurora is visible on most active nights — first low to the north, from about Kp 3.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Parshall?

Face north (about 10° from true north). At Kp 3 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 10° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Parshall?

Over 2005–2025, February gave the best odds in Parshall (24% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by September (23%).

When is the aurora season in Parshall?

Parshall gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Parshall?

Some sky glow from nearby lights. Moderate displays are fine; faint ones are easier a few kilometres out. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the east-south-east.

When was the aurora last possible in Parshall?

Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Parshall on 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0) — 920 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Parshall share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.