Oregon, United StatesMagnetic latitude 51.5°Population 1,0631,276 m above sea level
Can you see the northern lights in Joseph?
From Joseph the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 5.3 or more), usually as a glow low in the north-north-east. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does. Since 1995 that level (Kp 5.3) was reached during darkness here on 426 nights.
Right now
It is still light here. Darkness starts at 19:05.
Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 3.
Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).
Tonight in one minute
Only in photos, if at all
- Solar activity Enough for a camera: Kp 4 expected, 3.7 needed for photos, 5.3 for the eye.
- Sky Partly cloudy (72% cloud) — look for gaps.
- Darkness Dark from 19:05 to 06:03.
What to do: Point a phone in night mode north-north-east (3–10 s exposure). A red or green glow often shows on the screen before you can see it.
- Detailed forecast Fri 16 4 Unlikely · Kp 4
- Sat 17 1.7 No · Kp 1.7
- 27-day trend Sun 18 2 No · Kp 2
- Mon 19 2 No · Kp 2
- Tue 20 3 No · Kp 3
- Wed 21 4 Unlikely · Kp 4
- Thu 22 4 Photos only · Kp 4
- Fri 23 3 No · Kp 3
- Sat 24 2 No · Kp 2
- Sun 25 2 No · Kp 2
- Mon 26 2 No · Kp 2
- Tue 27 2 No · Kp 2
- Wed 28 2 No · Kp 2
- Thu 29 2 No · Kp 2
- Fri 30 5 Photos only · Kp 5
- Sat 31 5 Photos only · Kp 5
- Sun 1 3 No · Kp 3
- Mon 2 2 No · Kp 2
- Tue 3 2 No · Kp 2
- Wed 4 2 No · Kp 2
- Thu 5 3 No · Kp 3
- Fri 6 3 No · Kp 3
Friday 23 October — Photos only · Kp 4 · best around 00:00 · Forecast cloud: 18%. · Reliability: low (rough trend)
Each box is one night: the colour shows the chance, the number the expected Kp. Tap a night for details.
📅 Add these nights to your calendar — it updates itself (.ics)
How far ahead can the northern lights be forecast?
- Minutes to an hour: satellites 1.5 million km away measure the solar wind before it reaches Earth. This is the surest warning — the “Right now” box uses it.
- 1–3 days: when the Sun throws out a cloud of particles, it takes one to three days to arrive. NOAA's 3-hourly forecast covers these nights; the timing can still be off by a few hours.
- 4–27 days: the Sun turns once every 27 days, and regions that disturbed Earth's field last time often do it again. NOAA's 27-day outlook gives this rough trend — new eruptions are not in it yet.
Tonight
Updated 13:57 local time
Unlikely
Best around 19:00. Forecast max Kp 4.0 (this place needs 5.3), average cloud 72%.
- Dark enough
- 19:05 – 06:03
- Sunset
- 18:01 · sunrise 07:07
- Moon
- 33% · ↑ 13:32 · ↓ 21:34
- Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
- Kp 5.3
- Kp for photos
- In photos: from Kp 3.7 (a red glow low in the north-north-east).
- Look towards
- north-north-east (14°)
Cloud layers and weather
Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.
| Time | Fri, 19 | Fri, 22 | Sat, 01 | Sat, 04 | Sat, 20 | Sat, 23 | Sun, 02 | Sun, 05 | Sun, 21 | Mon, 00 | Mon, 03 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low cloud | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 76% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mid cloud | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 86% | 5% |
| High cloud | 19% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 5% | 10% |
| Temperature | 14 °C | 8 °C | 13 °C | 14 °C | 8 °C | 7 °C | 6 °C | 5 °C | 10 °C | 9 °C | 9 °C |
| Feels like | 10 °C | 3 °C | 7 °C | 8 °C | 5 °C | 5 °C | 4 °C | 3 °C | 6 °C | 6 °C | 6 °C |
| Wind | 1 m/s | 3 m/s | 6 m/s | 6 m/s | 2 m/s | 3 m/s | 2 m/s | 2 m/s | 2 m/s | 2 m/s | 2 m/s |
| Visibility | 50 km | 50 km | 50 km | 50 km | 20 km | 15 km | 0.1 km | 0.1 km | 24 km | 24 km | 24 km |
Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).
Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology
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What you would see from Joseph
Facing north-north-east. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.
| Kp | What you see | Lower edge | Ray tops | Distance to the aurora |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Below the horizon | -1° | 4° | 1,223 km |
| 3 | Below the horizon | 1° | 7° | 1,001 km |
| 4 | Faint glow, mostly on camera | 4° | 11° | 778 km |
| 5 | Faint glow, mostly on camera | 8° | 17° | 556 km |
| 6 | Visible to the north-north-east | 16° | 29° | 334 km |
| 7 | Visible to the north-north-east | 43° | 60° | 111 km |
| 8 | Overhead and all around | – | – | – |
| 9 | Overhead and all around | – | – | – |
The Kp scale in plain words
Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.
- Kp 0–2 Quiet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
- Kp 3 Unsettled Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
- Kp 4 Active next 24 h camera in Joseph Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
- Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) eye in Joseph Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
- Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
- Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
- Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
- Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).
Light pollution
Pristine dark sky. Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.
Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.
Hills and mountains
Terrain is not modelled for this place.
From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.
Best months to see the aurora in Joseph
Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.
September has been the best month (2% of nights), followed by May (2%).
| Month | Good nights | Clear nights | Darkness | Low / high |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September | 2% | 79% | 9.1 h | 8° / 22°C |
| October | 1% | 56% | 10.9 h | 2° / 13°C |
| November | 0.3% | 37% | 12.0 h | -4° / 4°C |
| December | 0.2% | 34% | 12.6 h | -9° / -2°C |
| January | 0.3% | 43% | 12.4 h | -10° / -2°C |
| February | 0.7% | 37% | 11.4 h | -8° / 0°C |
| March | 0.5% | 42% | 9.9 h | -4° / 5°C |
| April | 1% | 52% | 8.1 h | -1° / 10°C |
Aurora nights in Joseph since 1995
Nights when Kp reached 5.3 or more while it was dark here.
Most recent strong nights
- 3 July 2026 · Kp 6.3
- 18 April 2026 · Kp 5.3
- 17 April 2026 · Kp 5.3
- 2 April 2026 · Kp 5.3
- 21 March 2026 · Kp 6.3
- 20 March 2026 · Kp 5.7
- 13 March 2026 · Kp 6.0
- 21 February 2026 · Kp 5.3
Practical information
- Nearest airport
- McCall Municipal Airport (MYL) · 103 km
- Typical low / high in September
- 8° / 22°C
- What to wear
- Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
- Emergency number
- 911
- Winter driving
- Tyre and chain rules are set at state level; check Alaska 511 (511.alaska.gov, Alaska DOT&PF) for Alaska roads, or the relevant state's 511 service elsewhere. Road conditions
- Access to land
- There is no general right to roam; trespass law is set by each state, so stay on public land (national parks, national forests, BLM land) or get the landowner's permission, and follow each park's night-time and parking rules.
- Official space-weather service
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (aurora dashboard)
- Weather service
- National Weather Service (NOAA)
Questions and answers
What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Joseph?
From Joseph the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 5.3 or more), usually as a glow low in the north-north-east. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does.
Which way should I look for the aurora in Joseph?
Face north-north-east (about 14° from true north). At Kp 5.3 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 16° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.
What is the best month to see the aurora in Joseph?
Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in Joseph (2% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by May (2%).
When is the aurora season in Joseph?
Joseph gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.
Is there much light pollution in Joseph?
Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.
When was the aurora last possible in Joseph?
The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level Joseph needs, during darkness, was 3 July 2026 (Kp 6.3). It has happened on 426 nights since 1995.
Also covered by this forecast
Villages and districts around Joseph share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.
- Fruita 33 km
- Imnaha River Woods Development 35 km
- Cornucopia 39 km