AuroraMeteo

Washington, United StatesMagnetic latitude 53.0°Population 22,953149 m above sea level

Northern lights in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood

Picnic Point-North Lynnwood needs an active night: from about Kp 4.7 the aurora appears low over the north-north-east horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows. Since 1995 that level (Kp 4.7) was reached during darkness here on 875 nights.

Right now

Activity is high enough for a camera right now: point your phone north-north-east, low over the horizon.

Kp 3.3 · 430 km/s · Bz -1.8

Latest measured half-hour activity worldwide: Hp30 3.7.

Updates every minute while this page is open. Ground data: GFZ Potsdam Hp30 index (CC BY 4.0).

Tonight in one minute

Only in photos, if at all

  • Solar activity Enough for a camera: Kp 3.7 expected, 3 needed for photos, 4.7 for the eye.
  • Sky Mostly clear (13% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 19:15 to 06:32. A bright moon (85%) washes out faint displays.

What to do: Point a phone in night mode north-north-east (3–10 s exposure). A red or green glow often shows on the screen before you can see it.

Tonight

Updated 06:27 local time

10/100

Unlikely

Best around 06:00. Forecast max Kp 3.7 (this place needs 4.7), average cloud 13%.

Dark enough
19:15 – 06:32
Sunset
18:07 · sunrise 07:40
Moon
85% · ↑ 16:32 · ↓ 03:28
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 4.7
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 3 (a red glow low in the north-north-east).
Look towards
north-north-east (16°)
Thu 22 Oct1Kp 2.3 · cloud 37%
Fri 23 Oct2Kp 3.0 · cloud 43%
Sat 24 Oct1Kp 2.3 · cloud 86%
Thu 22 06 · 10/100 · Kp 3.7 · cloud 13% Thu 22 20 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 14% Thu 22 21 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 10% Thu 22 22 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 12% Fri 23 19 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 20% Fri 23 20 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 9% Fri 23 21 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 14% Fri 23 22 · 1/100 · Kp 2.0 · cloud 12% Sat 24 05 · 1/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 78% Sat 24 06 · 2/100 · Kp 3.0 · cloud 79% Sat 24 19 · 1/100 · Kp 2.3 · cloud 63% 061218Fri 23061218Sat 24061218Sun 25
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Cloud layers and weather

High cloud Mid cloud Low cloud 061218Fri 23061218Sat 24061218Sun 25
Low cloudMid cloudHigh cloud Dark enough

Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.

Dark hours
TimeThu, 06Thu, 21Fri, 00Fri, 03Fri, 06Fri, 21Sat, 00Sat, 03Sat, 06Sat, 21Sun, 00Sun, 03
Low cloud21%2%0%0%8%0%0%0%0%64%99%100%
Mid cloud0%33%0%0%0%20%40%63%82%90%97%73%
High cloud50%2%0%0%0%24%38%45%48%18%23%18%
Temperature8 °C9 °C8 °C6 °C7 °C7 °C6 °C5 °C6 °C9 °C7 °C7 °C
Feels like8 °C7 °C6 °C6 °C7 °C7 °C4 °C4 °C5 °C8 °C7 °C7 °C
Wind2 m/s3 m/s2 m/s1 m/s1 m/s1 m/s2 m/s2 m/s2 m/s1 m/s1 m/s1 m/s

Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

Weather in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood

The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Picnic Point-North Lynnwood: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.

Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for Picnic Point-North Lynnwood on Atlas of Seasons.

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What you would see from Picnic Point-North Lynnwood

Facing north-north-east. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 6.7 · high overheadKp 4.7 · 11°–21° NW 316° NNW 331° NNW 346° N 1° NNE 16° NNE 31° NE 46° ENE 61° ENE 76°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Horizon from elevation data out to 30 km.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Below the horizon 1° 6° 1,056 km
3 Faint glow, mostly on camera 3° 10° 834 km
4 Faint glow, mostly on camera 7° 15° 612 km
5 Visible to the north-north-east 13° 25° 389 km
6 Visible to the north-north-east 31° 49° 167 km
7 Overhead and all around – – –
8 Overhead and all around – – –
9 Overhead, and also to the south-south-west – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled camera in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active next 24 h Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) eye in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Bright suburban sky. Strong sky glow washes out faint aurora. Head out of town for anything but a bright display.

A noticeably darker area starts about 40 km to the west. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

The horizon towards the north-north-east is open (terrain below 2.6°), so low aurora is not blocked.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

September has been the best month (5% of nights), followed by April (3%).

0%10% July: 3% Jul August: 3% Aug September: 5% Sept October: 3% Oct November: 1% Nov December: 1% Dec January: 1% Jan February: 2% Feb March: 3% Mar April: 3% Apr May: 2% May June: 1% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 5% 65% 9.1 h 10° / 19°C
October 3% 46% 10.9 h 5° / 13°C
November 1% 29% 12.1 h 1° / 7°C
December 1% 36% 13.0 h -1° / 3°C
January 0.9% 34% 12.5 h -1° / 4°C
February 2% 40% 11.4 h -1° / 5°C
March 3% 35% 9.9 h 1° / 7°C
April 3% 40% 7.8 h 3° / 11°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
14%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (September)
22%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (September)
30%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (September)

Aurora nights in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 4915492016: 2916292017: 3217322018: 61862019: 91992020: 62062021: 1021102022: 2322232023: 2923292024: 2224222025: 4825482026: 212621
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
Seattle Paine Field International Airport (PAE) · 5 km
Seattle–Tacoma International Airport (SEA) · 46 km
Typical low / high in September
10° / 19°C
What to wear
Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Tyre and chain rules are set at state level; check Alaska 511 (511.alaska.gov, Alaska DOT&PF) for Alaska roads, or the relevant state's 511 service elsewhere. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no general right to roam; trespass law is set by each state, so stay on public land (national parks, national forests, BLM land) or get the landowner's permission, and follow each park's night-time and parking rules.
Official space-weather service
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (aurora dashboard)
Weather service
National Weather Service (NOAA)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood?

Picnic Point-North Lynnwood needs an active night: from about Kp 4.7 the aurora appears low over the north-north-east horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood?

Face north-north-east (about 16° from true north). At Kp 4.7 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 13° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood?

Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood (5% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by April (3%).

When is the aurora season in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood?

Picnic Point-North Lynnwood gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood?

Strong sky glow washes out faint aurora. Head out of town for anything but a bright display. A noticeably darker area starts about 40 km to the west.

When was the aurora last possible in Picnic Point-North Lynnwood?

The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level Picnic Point-North Lynnwood needs, during darkness, was 4 October 2026 (Kp 5.0). It has happened on 875 nights since 1995.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Picnic Point-North Lynnwood share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.