AuroraMeteo

Michigan, United StatesMagnetic latitude 51.4°Population 1,119194 m above sea level

Can you see the northern lights in Stevensville?

From Stevensville the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 5.3 or more), usually as a glow low in the north. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does. Since 1995 that level (Kp 5.3) was reached during darkness here on 448 nights.

Right now

It is still light here. Darkness starts at 20:03.

Kp 1.7 · 446 km/s · Bz -2.3

Updates every minute while this page is open.

Tonight in one minute

Not tonight

  • Solar activity Too weak: Kp 1.7 expected, 5.3 needed here.
  • Sky Mostly clear (36% cloud).
  • Darkness Dark from 20:03 to 07:00.

What to do: Not tonight — your next chance is shown just below.

Tonight

Updated 11:51 local time

0/100

Unlikely

Best around 20:00. Forecast max Kp 1.7 (this place needs 5.3), average cloud 36%.

Dark enough
20:03 – 07:00
Sunset
19:02 · sunrise 08:01
Moon
32% · ↑ 14:09 · ↓ 22:42
Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
Kp 5.3
Kp for photos
In photos: from Kp 3.7 (a red glow low in the north).
Look towards
north (358°)
Sat 17 Oct0Kp 1.7 · cloud 0%
Sun 18 Oct0Kp 1.7 · cloud 0%
1218Sat 17061218Sun 18061218Mon 1906
Chance (0–100) Dark enough Cloud cover

Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology

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What you would see from Stevensville

Facing north. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.

10°20°30°45° Kp 7.3 · high overheadKp 5.3 · 10°–20° WNW 298° NW 313° NNW 328° NNW 343° N 358° NNE 13° NNE 28° NE 43° ENE 58°
Computed from the auroral oval position for each Kp level (lower border ~105 km, ray tops ~200 km up). Terrain not modelled for this place; the horizon is drawn flat.
KpWhat you seeLower edgeRay topsDistance to the aurora
2 Below the horizon -1° 3° 1,234 km
3 Below the horizon 1° 6° 1,012 km
4 Faint glow, mostly on camera 4° 10° 790 km
5 Faint glow, mostly on camera 8° 17° 567 km
6 Visible to the north 15° 28° 345 km
7 Visible to the north 40° 58° 122 km
8 Overhead and all around – – –
9 Overhead and all around – – –
Angles above the horizon. Terrain in the look direction is taken into account where modelled.

The Kp scale in plain words

Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.

  1. Kp 0–2 Quiet next 24 h Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
  2. Kp 3 Unsettled Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
  3. Kp 4 Active camera in Stevensville Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
  4. Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) eye in Stevensville Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
  5. Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
  6. Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
  7. Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
  8. Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).

Light pollution

Suburban sky. Noticeable sky glow. Bright displays are visible, but driving out of town makes a clear difference.

A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the west-north-west. Open in OpenStreetMap

Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.

Hills and mountains

Terrain is not modelled for this place.

From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.

Best months to see the aurora in Stevensville

Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.

September has been the best month (3% of nights), followed by March (1%).

0%10% July: 0% Jul August: 1% Aug September: 3% Sept October: 1% Oct November: 1% Nov December: 0% Dec January: 0% Jan February: 1% Feb March: 1% Mar April: 0% Apr May: 1% May June: 1% Jun
All years Near solar maximum Near solar minimum
MonthGood nightsClear nightsDarknessLow / high
September 3% 49% 9.3 h 18° / 22°C
October 1% 45% 10.9 h 11° / 16°C
November 1% 38% 12.0 h 5° / 9°C
December 0.3% 18% 12.6 h 0° / 3°C
January 0% 20% 12.3 h -3° / 1°C
February 0.5% 30% 11.1 h -4° / 1°C
March 1% 26% 9.9 h 0° / 5°C
April 0.2% 10% 8.4 h 4° / 9°C
Good night = darkness + activity at this place's Kp level + night-time satellite cloud ≤ 70%. GFZ Kp, NASA POWER (CERES), 1° grid. Methodology
8%chance of ≥1 good night in 3 nights (September)
13%chance of ≥1 good night in 5 nights (September)
17%chance of ≥1 good night in 7 nights (September)

Aurora nights in Stevensville since 1995

Nights when Kp reached 5.3 or more while it was dark here.

2015: 3015302016: 1216122017: 1517152018: 51852019: 31932020: 12012021: 42142022: 82282023: 1923192024: 1524152025: 2225222026: 122612
Per year, last 12 years. Cloud cover not included. Source: GFZ Kp.

Most recent strong nights

Practical information

Nearest airport
South Bend International Airport (SBN) · 38 km
Chicago Midway International Airport (MDW) · 105 km
Typical low / high in September
18° / 22°C
What to wear
Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
Emergency number
911
Winter driving
Tyre and chain rules are set at state level; check Alaska 511 (511.alaska.gov, Alaska DOT&PF) for Alaska roads, or the relevant state's 511 service elsewhere. Road conditions
Access to land
There is no general right to roam; trespass law is set by each state, so stay on public land (national parks, national forests, BLM land) or get the landowner's permission, and follow each park's night-time and parking rules.
Official space-weather service
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (aurora dashboard)
Weather service
National Weather Service (NOAA)

Questions and answers

What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Stevensville?

From Stevensville the aurora is seen only during geomagnetic storms (about Kp 5.3 or more), usually as a glow low in the north. Cameras often pick it up before the eye does.

Which way should I look for the aurora in Stevensville?

Face north (about 358° from true north). At Kp 5.3 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 15° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.

What is the best month to see the aurora in Stevensville?

Over 2005–2025, September gave the best odds in Stevensville (3% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by March (1%).

When is the aurora season in Stevensville?

Stevensville gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.

Is there much light pollution in Stevensville?

Noticeable sky glow. Bright displays are visible, but driving out of town makes a clear difference. A noticeably darker area starts about 5 km to the west-north-west.

When was the aurora last possible in Stevensville?

The most recent night in our data when activity reached the level Stevensville needs, during darkness, was 3 July 2026 (Kp 7.0). It has happened on 448 nights since 1995.

Also covered by this forecast

Villages and districts around Stevensville share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.