Southland Region, New ZealandMagnetic latitude 53.7°Population 2,19351 m above sea level
Southern lights in Winton
Winton needs an active night: from about Kp 4.3 the aurora appears low over the south-south-west horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows. Since 1995 storms of Kp 4.7 or more reached this place during darkness on 828 nights.
Right now
It is still light here. Darkness starts at 21:33.
Updates every minute while this page is open.
Tonight in one minute
Only in photos, if at all
- Solar activity Enough for a camera: Kp 3.3 expected, 2.7 needed for photos, 4.3 for the eye.
- Sky Partly cloudy (72% cloud) — look for gaps.
- Darkness Dark from 21:33 to 05:27. A bright moon (79%) washes out faint displays.
What to do: Point a phone in night mode south-south-west (3–10 s exposure). A red or green glow often shows on the screen before you can see it.
Sunday 1 November — Good chance · Kp 5 · best around 01:00 · No cloud forecast this far ahead; in October about 48% of nights are clear here. · Reliability: low (rough trend)
Each box is one night: the colour shows the chance, the number the expected Kp. Tap a night for details.
📅 Add these nights to your calendar — it updates itself (.ics)
How far ahead can the northern lights be forecast?
- Minutes to an hour: satellites 1.5 million km away measure the solar wind before it reaches Earth. This is the surest warning — the “Right now” box uses it.
- 1–3 days: when the Sun throws out a cloud of particles, it takes one to three days to arrive. NOAA's 3-hourly forecast covers these nights; the timing can still be off by a few hours.
- 4–27 days: the Sun turns once every 27 days, and regions that disturbed Earth's field last time often do it again. NOAA's 27-day outlook gives this rough trend — new eruptions are not in it yet.
Tonight
Updated 08:32 local time
Unlikely
Best around 21:00. Forecast max Kp 3.3 (this place needs 4.3), average cloud 72%.
- Dark enough
- 21:33 – 05:27
- Sunset
- 20:23 · sunrise 06:38
- Moon
- 79% · ↑ 15:47 · ↓ 04:44
- Kp neededKp index: a 0–9 measure of geomagnetic activity. The higher it is, the further from the poles the aurora reaches.
- Kp 4.3
- Kp for photos
- In photos: from Kp 2.7 (a red glow low in the south-south-west).
- Look towards
- south-south-west (196°)
Cloud layers and weather
Low cloud blocks the aurora completely. Thin high cloud often still lets a bright aurora shine through, so a sky with only high cloud is worth a look.
| Time | Thu, 21 | Fri, 00 | Fri, 03 | Fri, 21 | Sat, 00 | Sat, 03 | Sat, 21 | Sun, 00 | Sun, 03 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low cloud | 30% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mid cloud | 13% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 69% | 73% |
| High cloud | 0% | 0% | 10% | 100% | 100% | 81% | 27% | 18% | 47% |
| Temperature | 12 °C | 9 °C | 7 °C | 14 °C | 10 °C | 7 °C | 14 °C | 11 °C | 10 °C |
| Feels like | 12 °C | 9 °C | 7 °C | 14 °C | 10 °C | 7 °C | 14 °C | 11 °C | 9 °C |
| Wind | 2 m/s | 0 m/s | 1 m/s | 1 m/s | 1 m/s | 1 m/s | 2 m/s | 3 m/s | 3 m/s |
Cloud layers and weather: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).
Score = activity (NOAA Kp and OVATION) × clear sky (MET Norway) × darkness × moonlight. Methodology
Weather in Winton
The aurora only shows through clear skies, so the weather matters as much as the Kp index. Here is the general forecast for Winton: temperature, wind and the chance of rain for the coming days.
Planning further ahead? See the hour-by-hour weather forecast for Winton on Atlas of Seasons.
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What you would see from Winton
Facing south-south-west. Bands show where the aurora sits at two activity levels.
| Kp | What you see | Lower edge | Ray tops | Distance to the aurora |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Below the horizon | 2° | 7° | 979 km |
| 3 | Faint glow, mostly on camera | 4° | 11° | 756 km |
| 4 | Faint glow, mostly on camera | 9° | 18° | 534 km |
| 5 | Visible to the south-south-west | 17° | 31° | 311 km |
| 6 | Visible to the south-south-west | 49° | 65° | 89 km |
| 7 | Overhead and all around | – | – | – |
| 8 | Overhead, and also to the north-north-east | – | – | – |
| 9 | Overhead, and also to the north-north-east | – | – | – |
The Kp scale in plain words
Kp is a 0–9 score for how strongly the Earth's magnetic field is being shaken by the solar wind. The higher it goes, the further from the poles the northern lights reach. Kp 0–2 is a quiet night; Kp 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.
- Kp 0–2 Quiet Only under the auroral oval: northern Norway, Swedish and Finnish Lapland, Iceland, Alaska, northern Canada.
- Kp 3 Unsettled next 24 h camera in Winton Bright in the Arctic; low on the horizon in central Scandinavia and southern Iceland.
- Kp 4 Active eye in Winton Overhead in the Arctic; low in the north from southern Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Scotland.
- Kp 5 Minor storm (G1) Scotland, southern Scandinavia, the Baltic states, the northern US states and southern Canada.
- Kp 6 Moderate storm (G2) Northern England, Denmark, northern Germany and Poland, the US Midwest — often clearer in photos than to the eye.
- Kp 7 Strong storm (G3) Most of the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Czechia; red glow in photos from France and the northern Alps.
- Kp 8 Severe storm (G4) Central Europe to the eye; red sky in photos from northern Italy, Spain, the Balkans and Turkey's Black Sea coast.
- Kp 9 Extreme storm (G5) Seen across Europe and the US; in photos as far south as the Mediterranean, Turkey and North Africa (May 2024).
Light pollution
Pristine dark sky. Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.
Estimate from NASA VIIRS night-light data (sky-glow model within 50 km). Check access and private land before you go.
Hills and mountains
The horizon towards the south-south-west is open (terrain below 0.0°), so low aurora is not blocked.
From elevation data (AWS Terrain Tiles) along seven lines of sight up to 30 km.
Best months to see the aurora in Winton
Share of nights 2005–2025 that were dark, active enough here and mostly clear.
May has been the best month (5% of nights), followed by March (4%).
| Month | Good nights | Clear nights | Darkness | Low / high |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March | 4% | 56% | 9.3 h | 8° / 18°C |
| April | 4% | 55% | 11.0 h | 6° / 15°C |
| May | 5% | 51% | 12.3 h | 4° / 11°C |
| June | 3% | 54% | 12.8 h | 2° / 9°C |
| July | 3% | 56% | 12.6 h | 2° / 8°C |
| August | 2% | 49% | 11.5 h | 2° / 10°C |
| September | 4% | 50% | 9.9 h | 3° / 12°C |
| October | 2% | 48% | 8.3 h | 4° / 14°C |
Aurora nights in Winton since 1995
Nights when Kp reached 4.7 or more while it was dark here.
Most recent strong nights
- 10 October 2026 · Kp 7.3
- 4 October 2026 · Kp 5.0
- 8 September 2026 · Kp 5.0
- 8 August 2026 · Kp 6.0
- 2 August 2026 · Kp 5.7
- 23 July 2026 · Kp 5.0
- 4 July 2026 · Kp 6.7
- 5 June 2026 · Kp 6.0
Practical information
- Nearest airport
- Invercargill Airport (IVC) · 29 km
- Typical low / high in May
- 4° / 11°C
- What to wear
- Cool nights: layers, a windproof jacket, hat and gloves for standing still outside. Full clothing guide
- Emergency number
- 111 (free, works from mobiles without credit); 105 for non-emergency Police
- Winter driving
- NZTA advises anyone crossing alpine passes or travelling in the south and inland South Island in winter to carry chains and know how to fit them; from winter 2026 Queenstown Lakes District Council can fine drivers $750 for not fitting chains on council roads when 'chains required' signs are shown. Check NZTA Journey Planner for closures and 'chains essential' notices. Road conditions
- Access to land
- Freedom camping is allowed on DOC public conservation land unless a site is prohibited or restricted; scenic/recreation reserves are closed to it unless DOC provides a campsite, some sites are self-contained-vehicle only (from 7 June 2026 a green warrant card must be displayed), and breaches can be fined.
- Weather service
- MetService (Meteorological Service of New Zealand)
Questions and answers
What Kp do you need to see the aurora in Winton?
Winton needs an active night: from about Kp 4.3 the aurora appears low over the south-south-west horizon, and it rises higher as activity grows.
Which way should I look for the aurora in Winton?
Face south-south-west (about 196° from true north). At Kp 4.3 the lower edge of the aurora sits roughly 17° above the horizon; stronger activity lifts it higher and further across the sky.
What is the best month to see the aurora in Winton?
Over 2005–2025, May gave the best odds in Winton (5% of nights dark, active enough and mostly clear), followed by March (4%).
When is the aurora season in Winton?
Winton gets dark enough for the aurora all year round, though the long winter nights give the most hours to watch.
Is there much light pollution in Winton?
Almost no artificial light: faint aurora and the Milky Way are easy to see.
When was the aurora last possible in Winton?
Activity last reached storm level (Kp 5 or more) during darkness in Winton on 10 October 2026 (Kp 7.3) — 828 such nights since 1995. Here the aurora also appears on many quieter nights.
Also covered by this forecast
Villages and districts around Winton share its forecast: within a few kilometres the sky, the Kp needed and the best direction are the same.
- Lochiel 6 km
- Lady Barkly 6 km
- Browns 6 km
- Oreti Plains 8 km
- Limehills 9 km
- Centre Bush 11 km
- Springhills 12 km
- Hokonui 12 km
- South Hillend 13 km
- Otapiri Gorge 14 km
- Drummond 14 km
- Pukearuhe 15 km
- Isla Bank 16 km
- Hedgehope 16 km
- Heddon Bush 16 km
- Benmore 22 km
- Wreys Bush 23 km
- Aparima 23 km
- Waikouro 27 km
- Dipton 28 km
- Wairio 29 km
- Opio 29 km
- Nightcaps 31 km
- Tiromaunga 36 km
- Ngaro 39 km